Stock Analysis

AB Volvo (STO:VOLV B) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To SEK14.00

OM:VOLV B
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AB Volvo (publ) (STO:VOLV B) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 13th of April to SEK14.00. This will take the annual payment to 3.4% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.

See our latest analysis for AB Volvo

AB Volvo's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. The last payment was quite easily covered by earnings, but it made up 192% of cash flows. While the company may be more focused on returning cash to shareholders than growing the business at this time, we think that a cash payout ratio this high might expose the dividend to being cut if the business ran into some challenges.

Earnings per share is forecast to rise by 16.7% over the next year. If recent patterns in the dividend continues, the payout ratio in 12 months could be 84% which is a bit high but can definitely be sustainable.

historic-dividend
OM:VOLV B Historic Dividend February 12th 2023

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2013, the annual payment back then was SEK3.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of SEK7.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8.8% a year over that time. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. AB Volvo might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.

We Could See AB Volvo's Dividend Growing

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. AB Volvo has impressed us by growing EPS at 9.8% per year over the past five years. While on an earnings basis, this company looks appealing as an income stock, the cash payout ratio still makes us cautious.

In Summary

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think AB Volvo's payments are rock solid. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've identified 2 warning signs for AB Volvo (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing. Is AB Volvo not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.