Stock Analysis

Systemair (STO:SYSR) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger

OM:SYSR
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What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. Speaking of which, we noticed some great changes in Systemair's (STO:SYSR) returns on capital, so let's have a look.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on Systemair is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.15 = kr914m ÷ (kr9.6b - kr3.4b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to April 2023).

Thus, Systemair has an ROCE of 15%. In absolute terms, that's a pretty normal return, and it's somewhat close to the Building industry average of 13%.

View our latest analysis for Systemair

roce
OM:SYSR Return on Capital Employed July 6th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Systemair compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Systemair here for free.

SWOT Analysis for Systemair

Strength
  • Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
  • Debt is not viewed as a risk.
  • Dividends are covered by earnings and cash flows.
Weakness
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Building market.
  • Expensive based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
Opportunity
  • SYSR's financial characteristics indicate limited near-term opportunities for shareholders.
Threat
  • Annual earnings are forecast to decline for the next 3 years.

So How Is Systemair's ROCE Trending?

The trends we've noticed at Systemair are quite reassuring. Over the last five years, returns on capital employed have risen substantially to 15%. The amount of capital employed has increased too, by 73%. This can indicate that there's plenty of opportunities to invest capital internally and at ever higher rates, a combination that's common among multi-baggers.

What We Can Learn From Systemair's ROCE

In summary, it's great to see that Systemair can compound returns by consistently reinvesting capital at increasing rates of return, because these are some of the key ingredients of those highly sought after multi-baggers. And a remarkable 257% total return over the last five years tells us that investors are expecting more good things to come in the future. With that being said, we still think the promising fundamentals mean the company deserves some further due diligence.

Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Systemair (of which 1 can't be ignored!) that you should know about.

While Systemair isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Systemair is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.