Saab AB (publ)

OM:SAAB B Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 125.7b

Saab Valuation

Is SAAB B undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SAAB B when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SAAB B (SEK235.15) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK615.17)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SAAB B is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SAAB B?

Key metric: As SAAB B is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SAAB B. This is calculated by dividing SAAB B's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SAAB B's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio31.7x
EarningsSEK 3.96b
Market CapSEK 125.67b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SAAB B's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SAAB B vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average56.3x
IVSO Invisio
62.3x28.8%SEK 12.4b
MILDEF MilDef Group
87.2x70.2%SEK 4.8b
CTT CTT Systems
39.1x33.3%SEK 3.5b
INDT Indutrade
36.8x10.8%SEK 100.3b
SAAB B Saab
31.7x20.3%SEK 125.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SAAB B is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.7x) compared to the peer average (56.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SAAB B's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Aerospace & Defense Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SAAB B 31.7xIndustry Avg. 24.7xNo. of Companies8PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SAAB B is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.7x) compared to the European Aerospace & Defense industry average (24.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SAAB B's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SAAB B PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio31.7x
Fair PE Ratio33.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SAAB B is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SAAB B forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentSEK 235.15
SEK 264.50
+12.5%
8.4%SEK 294.00SEK 225.00n/a7
Dec ’25SEK 238.85
SEK 264.50
+10.7%
8.4%SEK 294.00SEK 225.00n/a7
Nov ’25SEK 222.05
SEK 263.36
+18.6%
8.7%SEK 294.00SEK 225.00n/a7
Oct ’25SEK 223.55
SEK 263.07
+17.7%
8.6%SEK 294.00SEK 225.00n/a7
Sep ’25SEK 242.35
SEK 266.64
+10.0%
7.7%SEK 294.00SEK 225.00n/a7
Aug ’25SEK 242.05
SEK 264.21
+9.2%
7.7%SEK 294.00SEK 225.00n/a7
Jul ’25SEK 256.80
SEK 263.50
+2.6%
7.5%SEK 294.00SEK 225.00n/a7
Jun ’25SEK 253.40
SEK 250.42
-1.2%
11.2%SEK 275.00SEK 200.00n/a6
May ’25SEK 219.65
SEK 250.42
+14.0%
11.2%SEK 275.00SEK 200.00n/a6
Apr ’25SEK 238.00
SEK 214.65
-9.8%
5.2%SEK 230.00SEK 200.00n/a5
Mar ’25SEK 205.35
SEK 208.40
+1.5%
4.5%SEK 225.00SEK 198.75n/a5
Feb ’25SEK 169.10
SEK 171.13
+1.2%
4.8%SEK 183.75SEK 160.75n/a4
Jan ’25SEK 151.90
SEK 171.13
+12.7%
4.8%SEK 183.75SEK 160.75n/a4
Dec ’24SEK 137.50
SEK 168.94
+22.9%
5.4%SEK 183.75SEK 160.75SEK 238.854
Nov ’24SEK 146.25
SEK 167.38
+14.4%
6.8%SEK 183.75SEK 153.75SEK 222.054
Oct ’24SEK 139.20
SEK 166.75
+19.8%
7.3%SEK 183.75SEK 151.25SEK 223.554
Sep ’24SEK 145.45
SEK 166.75
+14.6%
7.3%SEK 183.75SEK 151.25SEK 242.354
Aug ’24SEK 139.35
SEK 166.75
+19.7%
7.3%SEK 183.75SEK 151.25SEK 242.054
Jul ’24SEK 145.80
SEK 172.69
+18.4%
4.8%SEK 183.75SEK 160.75SEK 256.804
Jun ’24SEK 149.15
SEK 172.69
+15.8%
4.8%SEK 183.75SEK 160.75SEK 253.404
May ’24SEK 143.90
SEK 163.63
+13.7%
11.3%SEK 183.75SEK 135.00SEK 219.654
Apr ’24SEK 157.75
SEK 154.38
-2.1%
10.7%SEK 178.00SEK 135.00SEK 238.004
Mar ’24SEK 151.55
SEK 132.06
-12.9%
8.1%SEK 143.75SEK 114.50SEK 205.354
Feb ’24SEK 107.78
SEK 118.94
+10.4%
5.7%SEK 130.00SEK 112.50SEK 169.104
Jan ’24SEK 102.68
SEK 116.75
+13.7%
7.3%SEK 130.00SEK 106.25SEK 151.904
Dec ’23SEK 97.63
SEK 116.75
+19.6%
7.3%SEK 130.00SEK 106.25SEK 137.504

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/26 02:49
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Saab AB (publ) is covered by 15 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Erik Pettersson-GolrangABG Sundal Collier
Carlos Iranzo PerisBofA Global Research
Virginia MontorsiBofA Global Research