Stock Analysis

Peab AB (publ) (STO:PEAB B) Surges 28% Yet Its Low P/E Is No Reason For Excitement

OM:PEAB B
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Peab AB (publ) (STO:PEAB B) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 28% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Peab may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.5x, since almost half of all companies in Sweden have P/E ratios greater than 23x and even P/E's higher than 40x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Peab has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Peab

pe-multiple-vs-industry
OM:PEAB B Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 18th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Peab.

Is There Any Growth For Peab?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Peab would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 10% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 36% overall drop in EPS. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 1.6% per year as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 19% growth per annum, that's a disappointing outcome.

In light of this, it's understandable that Peab's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

What We Can Learn From Peab's P/E?

Shares in Peab are going to need a lot more upward momentum to get the company's P/E out of its slump. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Peab maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Peab (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Peab's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Peab is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.