Stock Analysis

NCC's (STO:NCC B) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

OM:NCC B
Source: Shutterstock

The board of NCC AB (publ) (STO:NCC B) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of SEK4.00 on the 16th of April, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. This will take the annual payment to 5.6% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.

While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that NCC's stock price has increased by 31% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.

See our latest analysis for NCC

NCC's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Prior to this announcement, NCC's dividend was only 50% of earnings, however it was paying out 789% of free cash flows. While the company may be more focused on returning cash to shareholders than growing the business at this time, we think that a cash payout ratio this high might expose the dividend to being cut if the business ran into some challenges.

EPS is set to fall by 9.4% over the next 12 months. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could be 44%, which we are pretty comfortable with and we think is feasible on an earnings basis.

historic-dividend
OM:NCC B Historic Dividend March 12th 2024

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of SEK12.00 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of SEK8.00. Doing the maths, this is a decline of about 4.0% per year. Declining dividends isn't generally what we look for as they can indicate that the company is running into some challenges.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. NCC has impressed us by growing EPS at 32% per year over the past five years. The company's earnings per share has grown rapidly in recent years, and it has a good balance between reinvesting and paying dividends to shareholders, so we think that NCC could prove to be a strong dividend payer.

In Summary

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think NCC will make a great income stock. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for NCC (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about. Is NCC not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if NCC might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.