engcon AB (publ)'s (STO:ENGCON B) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 51.2x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Sweden, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 23x and even P/E's below 15x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, engcon has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
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How Is engcon's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like engcon's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 54% last year. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 18% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 26% per annum as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 18% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why engcon is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Final Word
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of engcon's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for engcon with six simple checks.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than engcon. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if engcon might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.