Svenska Handelsbanken AB (publ)

OM:SHB A Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 225.7b

Svenska Handelsbanken Valuation

Is SHB A undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SHB A when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SHB A (SEK113.65) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK237.76)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SHB A is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SHB A?

Key metric: As SHB A is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SHB A. This is calculated by dividing SHB A's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SHB A's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.3x
EarningsSEK 26.98b
Market CapSEK 225.73b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SHB A's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SHB A vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.6x
SWED A Swedbank
7x-8.8%SEK 244.6b
SEB A Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken
8.6x-7.3%SEK 314.8b
NORION Norion Bank
6.1x10.5%SEK 7.7b
TFBANK TF Bank
16.6x29.7%SEK 7.7b
SHB A Svenska Handelsbanken
8.3x-6.0%SEK 226.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SHB A is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x) compared to the peer average (9.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SHB A's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SHB A 8.3xIndustry Avg. 7.6xNo. of Companies40PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SHB A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SHB A's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SHB A PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.3x
Fair PE Ratio8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SHB A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SHB A forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentSEK 113.65
SEK 113.38
-0.2%
13.8%SEK 145.00SEK 95.00n/a16
Dec ’25SEK 113.50
SEK 113.38
-0.1%
13.8%SEK 145.00SEK 95.00n/a16
Nov ’25SEK 112.30
SEK 112.19
-0.1%
14.0%SEK 145.00SEK 93.00n/a16
Oct ’25SEK 103.30
SEK 109.49
+6.0%
13.7%SEK 140.00SEK 90.00n/a17
Sep ’25SEK 105.90
SEK 110.22
+4.1%
14.3%SEK 140.00SEK 90.00n/a15
Aug ’25SEK 105.25
SEK 110.62
+5.1%
13.9%SEK 140.00SEK 90.00n/a15
Jul ’25SEK 101.80
SEK 105.73
+3.9%
12.8%SEK 134.00SEK 85.00n/a15
Jun ’25SEK 98.64
SEK 106.67
+8.1%
14.2%SEK 138.00SEK 85.00n/a15
May ’25SEK 96.18
SEK 110.13
+14.5%
14.4%SEK 138.00SEK 85.00n/a15
Apr ’25SEK 108.25
SEK 117.56
+8.6%
12.5%SEK 135.00SEK 85.00n/a15
Mar ’25SEK 124.70
SEK 118.28
-5.2%
12.3%SEK 142.00SEK 85.00n/a18
Feb ’25SEK 111.35
SEK 112.67
+1.2%
13.7%SEK 140.00SEK 81.00n/a18
Jan ’25SEK 109.45
SEK 112.53
+2.8%
14.7%SEK 143.00SEK 80.00n/a17
Dec ’24SEK 99.46
SEK 112.82
+13.4%
14.6%SEK 143.00SEK 80.00SEK 113.5017
Nov ’24SEK 94.10
SEK 113.22
+20.3%
13.7%SEK 143.00SEK 80.00SEK 112.3018
Oct ’24SEK 97.56
SEK 111.72
+14.5%
12.3%SEK 138.00SEK 80.00SEK 103.3018
Sep ’24SEK 91.34
SEK 110.70
+21.2%
11.9%SEK 138.00SEK 85.00SEK 105.9020
Aug ’24SEK 92.48
SEK 110.60
+19.6%
12.1%SEK 138.00SEK 85.00SEK 105.2520
Jul ’24SEK 90.34
SEK 113.26
+25.4%
11.0%SEK 137.00SEK 85.00SEK 101.8019
Jun ’24SEK 87.96
SEK 114.16
+29.8%
11.3%SEK 150.00SEK 94.00SEK 98.6419
May ’24SEK 90.62
SEK 115.85
+27.8%
10.0%SEK 150.00SEK 94.00SEK 96.1820
Apr ’24SEK 89.84
SEK 117.47
+30.8%
9.6%SEK 145.00SEK 91.00SEK 108.2519
Mar ’24SEK 108.75
SEK 118.00
+8.5%
9.3%SEK 145.00SEK 91.00SEK 124.7019
Feb ’24SEK 109.80
SEK 120.70
+9.9%
10.7%SEK 145.00SEK 91.00SEK 111.3520
Jan ’24SEK 105.10
SEK 119.84
+14.0%
10.4%SEK 145.00SEK 92.00SEK 109.4519
Dec ’23SEK 106.45
SEK 119.58
+12.3%
10.6%SEK 145.00SEK 92.00SEK 99.4619

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 19:29
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Svenska Handelsbanken AB (publ) is covered by 45 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Magnus AnderssonABG Sundal Collier
Farhad MoshiriAlphaValue
Pierre-Yves GauthierAlphaValue