Stock Analysis

Is Saudi Telecom Company's (TADAWUL:7010) Recent Price Movement Underpinned By Its Weak Fundamentals?

SASE:7010
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With its stock down 7.8% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Saudi Telecom (TADAWUL:7010). We, however decided to study the company's financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financial performance over the long term, and therefore we decided to pay more attention to the company's financial performance. Specifically, we decided to study Saudi Telecom's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

See our latest analysis for Saudi Telecom

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Saudi Telecom is:

16% = ر.س14b ÷ ر.س83b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each SAR1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made SAR0.16 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Saudi Telecom's Earnings Growth And 16% ROE

On the face of it, Saudi Telecom's ROE is not much to talk about. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 12%, is definitely interesting. However, Saudi Telecom's five year net income growth was quite low averaging at only 4.3%. Bear in mind, the company does have a low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the low earnings growth.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Saudi Telecom's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 14% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growth
SASE:7010 Past Earnings Growth June 18th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is 7010 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Saudi Telecom Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 66% (that is, the company retains only 34% of its income) over the past three years for Saudi Telecom suggests that the company's earnings growth was lower as a result of paying out a majority of its earnings.

Additionally, Saudi Telecom has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 60% of its profits over the next three years. As a result, Saudi Telecom's ROE is not expected to change by much either, which we inferred from the analyst estimate of 17% for future ROE.

Conclusion

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Saudi Telecom's performance. Specifically, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a respectable rate of return. Investors may have benefitted, had the company been reinvesting more of its earnings. As discussed earlier, the company is retaining a small portion of its profits. The latest industry analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to maintain its current growth rate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Saudi Telecom is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Saudi Telecom is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com