Fawaz Abdulaziz Al Hokair Valuation
Is 4240 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
6/6Valuation Score 6/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 4240 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 4240 (SAR10.64) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SAR14.22)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 4240 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4240?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is 4240's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | ر.س1.22b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.1x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 38.3x |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers
How does 4240's PS Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PS | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 2.4x | ||
9589 Fad International | 0.6x | n/a | ر.س101.4m |
4008 Saudi Company for Hardware SACO | 1.4x | 7.4% | ر.س1.3b |
4191 Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati for Bookstores | 2.3x | n/a | ر.س633.0m |
4192 Al-Saif Stores for Development & Investment | 5.5x | n/a | ر.س4.0b |
4240 Fawaz Abdulaziz Al Hokair | 0.2x | 1.2% | ر.س1.2b |
Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 4240 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (2.4x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 4240's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Specialty Retail Industry?
Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 4240 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the Asian Specialty Retail industry average (0.6x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 4240's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PS Ratio | 0.2x |
| Fair PS Ratio | 0.5x |
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 4240 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | ر.س10.64 | ر.س16.57 +55.8% | 11.9% | ر.س18.70 | ر.س13.30 | n/a | 6 |
| Apr ’25 | ر.س14.82 | ر.س18.15 +22.5% | 11.5% | ر.س22.10 | ر.س14.64 | n/a | 7 |
| Mar ’25 | ر.س17.94 | ر.س18.26 +1.8% | 10.8% | ر.س22.10 | ر.س14.64 | n/a | 8 |
| Feb ’25 | ر.س16.80 | ر.س18.38 +9.4% | 11.3% | ر.س22.10 | ر.س14.64 | n/a | 7 |
| Jan ’25 | ر.س17.62 | ر.س18.23 +3.4% | 12.5% | ر.س22.10 | ر.س13.88 | n/a | 7 |
| Dec ’24 | ر.س16.26 | ر.س18.31 +12.6% | 12.3% | ر.س22.10 | ر.س13.88 | n/a | 7 |
| Nov ’24 | ر.س20.16 | ر.س19.18 -4.8% | 18.1% | ر.س25.70 | ر.س13.88 | n/a | 7 |
| Oct ’24 | ر.س20.28 | ر.س19.18 -5.4% | 18.1% | ر.س25.70 | ر.س13.88 | n/a | 7 |
| Sep ’24 | ر.س21.14 | ر.س18.67 -11.7% | 17.5% | ر.س25.70 | ر.س13.88 | n/a | 7 |
| Aug ’24 | ر.س15.42 | ر.س17.40 +12.8% | 9.6% | ر.س18.90 | ر.س13.88 | n/a | 6 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | ر.س17.61 0% | 9.6% | ر.س18.90 | ر.س13.88 | n/a | 6 |
| Jun ’24 | ر.س15.76 | ر.س17.64 +11.9% | 11.7% | ر.س20.90 | ر.س13.88 | n/a | 8 |
| May ’24 | ر.س16.50 | ر.س17.64 +6.9% | 11.7% | ر.س20.90 | ر.س13.88 | n/a | 8 |
| Apr ’24 | ر.س15.16 | ر.س20.87 +37.7% | 33.2% | ر.س38.77 | ر.س15.00 | ر.س14.82 | 8 |
| Mar ’24 | ر.س14.96 | ر.س20.87 +39.5% | 33.2% | ر.س38.77 | ر.س15.00 | ر.س17.94 | 8 |
| Feb ’24 | ر.س18.60 | ر.س20.85 +12.1% | 33.3% | ر.س38.77 | ر.س15.00 | ر.س16.80 | 8 |
| Jan ’24 | ر.س15.56 | ر.س20.85 +34.0% | 33.3% | ر.س38.77 | ر.س15.00 | ر.س17.62 | 8 |
| Dec ’23 | ر.س17.60 | ر.س22.32 +26.8% | 28.9% | ر.س38.77 | ر.س18.00 | ر.س16.26 | 8 |
| Nov ’23 | ر.س17.52 | ر.س30.04 +71.5% | 27.5% | ر.س40.26 | ر.س18.80 | ر.س20.16 | 7 |
| Oct ’23 | ر.س18.62 | ر.س31.49 +69.1% | 25.0% | ر.س39.80 | ر.س18.80 | ر.س20.28 | 6 |
| Sep ’23 | ر.س21.50 | ر.س31.46 +46.3% | 25.2% | ر.س39.80 | ر.س18.60 | ر.س21.14 | 6 |
| Aug ’23 | ر.س18.42 | ر.س33.42 +81.4% | 20.9% | ر.س39.80 | ر.س18.60 | ر.س15.42 | 6 |
| Jul ’23 | ر.س20.82 | ر.س36.10 +73.4% | 6.9% | ر.س40.26 | ر.س33.30 | n/a | 6 |
| Jun ’23 | ر.س24.26 | ر.س35.79 +47.5% | 6.8% | ر.س40.26 | ر.س33.30 | ر.س15.76 | 7 |
| May ’23 | ر.س24.52 | ر.س35.79 +45.9% | 6.8% | ر.س40.26 | ر.س33.30 | ر.س16.50 | 7 |
| Apr ’23 | ر.س27.27 | ر.س36.77 +34.9% | 8.6% | ر.س42.09 | ر.س33.30 | ر.س15.16 | 7 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.