Fawaz Abdulaziz Al Hokair & Company

SASE:4240 Stock Report

Market Cap: ر.س1.6b

Fawaz Abdulaziz Al Hokair Valuation

Is 4240 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4240 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4240 (SAR14.04) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SAR18.24)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4240 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4240?

Key metric: As 4240 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 4240. This is calculated by dividing 4240's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 4240's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.3x
Salesر.س5.18b
Market Capر.س1.62b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 4240's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 4240 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.9x
9589 Fad International
0.6xn/aر.س101.4m
4008 Saudi Company for Hardware SACO
1.2xn/aر.س1.1b
4192 Al-Saif Stores for Development & Investment
3.6xn/aر.س2.8b
4191 Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati for Bookstores
2.2xn/aر.س609.0m
4240 Fawaz Abdulaziz Al Hokair
0.3x1.1%ر.س1.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 4240 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (1.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 4240's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Specialty Retail Industry?

58 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4240 0.3xIndustry Avg. 0.6xNo. of Companies92PS00.61.21.82.43+
58 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 4240 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the Asian Specialty Retail industry average (0.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4240's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4240 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 4240 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4240 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentر.س13.88
ر.س11.55
-16.8%
25.9%ر.س14.64ر.س7.40n/a5
Nov ’25ر.س13.08
ر.س11.55
-11.7%
25.9%ر.س14.64ر.س7.40n/a5
Oct ’25ر.س10.42
ر.س11.55
+10.8%
25.9%ر.س14.64ر.س7.40n/a5
Sep ’25ر.س10.16
ر.س12.52
+23.3%
27.9%ر.س17.40ر.س7.40n/a6
Aug ’25ر.س8.25
ر.س12.72
+54.2%
28.3%ر.س17.40ر.س7.40n/a6
Jul ’25ر.س8.10
ر.س12.72
+57.1%
28.3%ر.س17.40ر.س7.40n/a6
Jun ’25ر.س8.40
ر.س15.51
+84.6%
14.0%ر.س18.70ر.س13.30n/a5
May ’25ر.س11.62
ر.س16.57
+42.6%
11.9%ر.س18.70ر.س13.30n/a6
Apr ’25ر.س14.82
ر.س18.15
+22.5%
11.5%ر.س22.10ر.س14.64n/a7
Mar ’25ر.س17.94
ر.س18.26
+1.8%
10.8%ر.س22.10ر.س14.64n/a8
Feb ’25ر.س16.80
ر.س18.38
+9.4%
11.3%ر.س22.10ر.س14.64n/a7
Jan ’25ر.س17.62
ر.س18.23
+3.4%
12.5%ر.س22.10ر.س13.88n/a7
Dec ’24ر.س16.26
ر.س18.31
+12.6%
12.3%ر.س22.10ر.س13.88n/a7
Nov ’24ر.س20.16
ر.س19.18
-4.8%
18.1%ر.س25.70ر.س13.88ر.س13.087
Oct ’24ر.س20.28
ر.س19.18
-5.4%
18.1%ر.س25.70ر.س13.88ر.س10.427
Sep ’24ر.س21.14
ر.س18.67
-11.7%
17.5%ر.س25.70ر.س13.88ر.س10.167
Aug ’24ر.س15.42
ر.س17.40
+12.8%
9.6%ر.س18.90ر.س13.88ر.س8.256
Jul ’24n/a
ر.س17.61
0%
9.6%ر.س18.90ر.س13.88ر.س8.106
Jun ’24ر.س15.76
ر.س17.64
+11.9%
11.7%ر.س20.90ر.س13.88ر.س8.408
May ’24ر.س16.50
ر.س17.64
+6.9%
11.7%ر.س20.90ر.س13.88ر.س11.628
Apr ’24ر.س15.16
ر.س20.87
+37.7%
33.2%ر.س38.77ر.س15.00ر.س14.828
Mar ’24ر.س14.96
ر.س20.87
+39.5%
33.2%ر.س38.77ر.س15.00ر.س17.948
Feb ’24ر.س18.60
ر.س20.85
+12.1%
33.3%ر.س38.77ر.س15.00ر.س16.808
Jan ’24ر.س15.56
ر.س20.85
+34.0%
33.3%ر.س38.77ر.س15.00ر.س17.628
Dec ’23ر.س17.60
ر.س22.32
+26.8%
28.9%ر.س38.77ر.س18.00ر.س16.268
Nov ’23ر.س17.52
ر.س30.04
+71.5%
27.5%ر.س40.26ر.س18.80ر.س20.167

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies