Saudi Company for Hardware SACO

SASE:4008 Stock Report

Market Cap: ر.س1.3b

Saudi Company for Hardware SACO Valuation

Is 4008 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4008 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4008 (SAR36.2) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR14.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4008 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4008?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

4008 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-2531.1x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 4008's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 4008 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.7x
4240 Fawaz Abdulaziz Al Hokair
0.2x1.2%ر.س1.3b
4191 Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati for Bookstores
2.3xn/aر.س630.0m
4192 Al-Saif Stores for Development & Investment
5.5xn/aر.س3.9b
4051 Baazeem Trading
2.7xn/aر.س699.6m
4008 Saudi Company for Hardware SACO
1.4x7.4%ر.س1.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 4008 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the peer average (2.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4008's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 4008 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the Asian Specialty Retail industry average (0.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4008's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4008 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.4x
Fair PS Ratio0.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 4008 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4008 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentر.س36.20
ر.س28.25
-22.0%
16.9%ر.س33.00ر.س23.00n/a4
Apr ’25ر.س36.10
ر.س28.25
-21.7%
16.9%ر.س33.00ر.س23.00n/a4
Mar ’25ر.س39.90
ر.س26.67
-33.2%
16.9%ر.س33.00ر.س23.00n/a3
Feb ’25ر.س37.60
ر.س26.67
-29.1%
16.9%ر.س33.00ر.س23.00n/a3
Jan ’25ر.س39.45
ر.س26.67
-32.4%
16.9%ر.س33.00ر.س23.00n/a3
Dec ’24ر.س28.05
ر.س27.67
-1.4%
16.3%ر.س33.00ر.س22.00n/a3
Nov ’24ر.س26.50
ر.س28.60
+7.9%
11.8%ر.س33.00ر.س24.80n/a3
Oct ’24ر.س30.60
ر.س29.70
-2.9%
11.7%ر.س33.00ر.س24.80n/a4
Sep ’24ر.س32.10
ر.س29.70
-7.5%
11.7%ر.س33.00ر.س24.80n/a4
Aug ’24ر.س33.80
ر.س29.70
-12.1%
11.7%ر.س33.00ر.س24.80n/a4
Jul ’24n/a
ر.س29.70
0%
11.7%ر.س33.00ر.س24.80n/a4
Jun ’24ر.س36.05
ر.س30.20
-16.2%
11.1%ر.س33.00ر.س24.80n/a4
May ’24ر.س31.55
ر.س30.45
-3.5%
11.8%ر.س34.00ر.س24.80n/a4
Apr ’24ر.س29.00
ر.س30.45
+5.0%
11.8%ر.س34.00ر.س24.80ر.س36.104
Mar ’24ر.س29.40
ر.س29.67
+0.9%
12.4%ر.س34.00ر.س25.00ر.س39.903
Feb ’24ر.س29.30
ر.س29.67
+1.3%
12.4%ر.س34.00ر.س25.00ر.س37.603
Jan ’24ر.س27.35
ر.س35.33
+29.2%
31.9%ر.س51.00ر.س25.00ر.س39.453
Dec ’23ر.س28.95
ر.س38.67
+33.6%
23.2%ر.س51.00ر.س30.00ر.س28.053
Nov ’23ر.س33.35
ر.س42.25
+26.7%
23.5%ر.س53.00ر.س30.00ر.س26.504
Oct ’23ر.س33.75
ر.س42.25
+25.2%
23.5%ر.س53.00ر.س30.00ر.س30.604
Sep ’23ر.س35.30
ر.س42.25
+19.7%
23.5%ر.س53.00ر.س30.00ر.س32.104
Aug ’23ر.س37.25
ر.س48.50
+30.2%
23.1%ر.س60.00ر.س30.00ر.س33.804
Jul ’23ر.س35.45
ر.س49.40
+39.4%
20.6%ر.س60.00ر.س30.00n/a5
Jun ’23ر.س45.65
ر.س52.80
+15.7%
8.0%ر.س60.00ر.س47.00ر.س36.055
May ’23ر.س41.85
ر.س54.83
+31.0%
10.9%ر.س65.00ر.س47.00ر.س31.556
Apr ’23ر.س44.10
ر.س58.33
+32.3%
14.3%ر.س72.00ر.س47.00ر.س29.006

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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