MBC Group Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 4072 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

4072 (SAR18.95) is trading above our estimate of [[future cash flow value]] (SAR14.59)

Is 4072 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Future Cash Flow Value
Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4072 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

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Below Future Cash Flow Value: 4072 (SAR18.95) is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value (SAR14.59)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: 4072 is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4072?

Key metric: As 4072 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 4072. This is calculated by dividing 4072's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 4072's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	1.4x
Sales	ر.س4.63b
Market Cap	ر.س6.46b

4072 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	37x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 4072's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 4072 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	1.4x
4071 Arabian Contracting Services	1.9x	18.91%	ر.س3.2b
4210 Saudi Research and Media Group	1.7x	7.41%	ر.س4.9b
EMTK Elang Mahkota Teknologi	1.4x	n/a	Rp30.6t
MFEB MFE-Mediaforeurope	0.5x	9.24%	€2.0b
4072 MBC Group	1.4x	9.87%	ر.س6.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 4072 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the peer average (1.4x).

Historical Price to Sales Ratio

Historical Price to Sales Ratio compares a stock's price to its sales over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 4072's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Media Industry?

42 Companies	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

42 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 4072 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the Asian Media industry average (1.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4072's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4072 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	1.4x
Fair PS Ratio	1.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 4072 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4072 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	ر.س18.98	ر.س31.65 +66.75%	1.11%	ر.س32.00	ر.س31.30	n/a	2
Sep ’27	ر.س20.02	ر.س31.65 +58.09%	1.11%	ر.س32.00	ر.س31.30	n/a	2
Aug ’27	ر.س20.06	ر.س31.65 +57.78%	1.11%	ر.س32.00	ر.س31.30	n/a	2
Jul ’27	ر.س22.90	ر.س31.65 +38.21%	1.11%	ر.س32.00	ر.س31.30	n/a	2
Jun ’27	ر.س25.28	ر.س44.80 +77.22%	4.91%	ر.س47.00	ر.س42.60	n/a	2
May ’27	ر.س26.18	ر.س44.80 +71.12%	4.91%	ر.س47.00	ر.س42.60	n/a	2
Apr ’27	ر.س26.98	ر.س44.80 +66.05%	4.91%	ر.س47.00	ر.س42.60	n/a	2
Mar ’27	ر.س27.90	ر.س44.80 +60.57%	4.91%	ر.س47.00	ر.س42.60	n/a	2
Feb ’27	ر.س28.52	ر.س44.80 +57.08%	4.91%	ر.س47.00	ر.س42.60	n/a	2
Jan ’27	ر.س31.70	ر.س49.30 +55.52%	13.59%	ر.س56.00	ر.س42.60	n/a	2
Dec ’26	ر.س31.10	ر.س49.30 +58.52%	13.59%	ر.س56.00	ر.س42.60	n/a	2
Nov ’26	ر.س34.50	ر.س49.30 +42.90%	13.59%	ر.س56.00	ر.س42.60	n/a	2
Oct ’26	ر.س35.94	ر.س49.30 +37.17%	13.59%	ر.س56.00	ر.س42.60	n/a	2
Sep ’26	ر.س28.90	ر.س56.83 +96.66%	4.78%	ر.س60.50	ر.س54.00	ر.س20.02	3
Aug ’26	ر.س31.30	ر.س56.83 +81.58%	4.78%	ر.س60.50	ر.س54.00	ر.س20.06	3
Jul ’26	ر.س35.54	ر.س56.83 +59.91%	4.78%	ر.س60.50	ر.س54.00	ر.س22.90	3
Jun ’26	ر.س42.65	ر.س56.83 +33.26%	4.78%	ر.س60.50	ر.س54.00	ر.س25.28	3
May ’26	ر.س41.00	ر.س56.50 +37.80%	5.06%	ر.س60.50	ر.س54.00	ر.س26.18	3
Apr ’26	ر.س45.90	ر.س56.50 +23.09%	5.06%	ر.س60.50	ر.س54.00	ر.س26.98	3
Mar ’26	ر.س52.00	ر.س56.50 +8.65%	5.06%	ر.س60.50	ر.س54.00	ر.س27.90	3
Feb ’26	ر.س56.50	ر.س56.50 0%	5.06%	ر.س60.50	ر.س54.00	ر.س28.52	3
Jan ’26	ر.س53.40	ر.س56.50 +5.81%	5.06%	ر.س60.50	ر.س54.00	ر.س31.70	3
Dec ’25	ر.س53.00	ر.س55.50 +4.72%	6.54%	ر.س60.50	ر.س52.00	ر.س31.10	3
Nov ’25	ر.س41.60	ر.س54.50 +31.01%	7.82%	ر.س60.50	ر.س51.00	ر.س34.50	3
Oct ’25	ر.س48.70	ر.س54.50 +11.91%	7.82%	ر.س60.50	ر.س51.00	ر.س35.94	3
Sep ’25	ر.س44.70	ر.س51.17 +14.47%	14.76%	ر.س60.50	ر.س42.00	ر.س28.90	3

AnalystPriceTarget

Member since 2015

ر.س31.65

Fair Value

40.1% undervalued

Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2026/09/14 13:25
End of Day Share Price	2026/09/14 00:00
Earnings	2026/06/30
Annual Earnings	2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

MBC Group is covered by 6 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Ankur Agarwal	HSBC
Elena Jouronova	J.P. Morgan
Tarek Sleiman	J.P. Morgan