Arabian Contracting Services Valuation
Is 4071 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
5/6Valuation Score 5/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 4071 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 4071 (SAR155.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SAR253.02)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 4071 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4071?
Key metric: As 4071 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is 4071's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 28.5x |
| Earnings | ر.س272.76m |
| Market Cap | ر.س7.77b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 6.6x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 19.4x |
| PEG Ratio | 0.9x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 4071's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 54.5x | ||
4072 MBC Group | 60.2x | 30.6% | ر.س14.7b |
4210 Saudi Research and Media Group | 64x | 32.6% | ر.س20.8b |
FOUR 4imprint Group | 16.2x | 4.6% | UK£1.4b |
002400 Guangdong Advertising GroupLtd | 77.4x | n/a | CN¥13.2b |
4071 Arabian Contracting Services | 28.5x | 31.2% | ر.س7.8b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4071 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.5x) compared to the peer average (56.1x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 4071's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Media Industry?
| 12 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4071 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.5x) compared to the Asian Media industry average (16.7x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 4071's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 28.5x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 46.8x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4071 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.8x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | ر.س155.40 | ر.س253.40 +63.1% | 10.3% | ر.س288.00 | ر.س214.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Nov ’25 | ر.س175.80 | ر.س253.40 +44.1% | 10.3% | ر.س288.00 | ر.س214.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Oct ’25 | ر.س203.00 | ر.س253.40 +24.8% | 10.3% | ر.س288.00 | ر.س214.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Sep ’25 | ر.س208.60 | ر.س271.40 +30.1% | 8.7% | ر.س304.00 | ر.س235.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Aug ’25 | ر.س227.00 | ر.س272.29 +19.9% | 7.9% | ر.س304.00 | ر.س235.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Jul ’25 | ر.س231.00 | ر.س269.67 +16.7% | 8.2% | ر.س304.00 | ر.س235.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Jun ’25 | ر.س202.00 | ر.س269.43 +33.4% | 12.2% | ر.س308.00 | ر.س210.00 | n/a | 7 |
| May ’25 | ر.س213.20 | ر.س275.17 +29.1% | 11.7% | ر.س308.00 | ر.س210.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Apr ’25 | ر.س222.00 | ر.س273.50 +23.2% | 13.0% | ر.س308.00 | ر.س200.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Mar ’25 | ر.س262.60 | ر.س283.50 +8.0% | 6.1% | ر.س308.00 | ر.س260.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Feb ’25 | ر.س269.60 | ر.س283.50 +5.2% | 6.1% | ر.س308.00 | ر.س260.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Jan ’25 | ر.س245.00 | ر.س279.33 +14.0% | 7.4% | ر.س308.00 | ر.س260.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Dec ’24 | ر.س185.20 | ر.س276.00 +49.0% | 8.7% | ر.س308.00 | ر.س250.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Nov ’24 | ر.س203.00 | ر.س281.50 +38.7% | 9.4% | ر.س308.00 | ر.س255.00 | ر.س175.80 | 2 |
| Oct ’24 | ر.س206.00 | ر.س247.00 +19.9% | 11.9% | ر.س300.00 | ر.س215.00 | ر.س203.00 | 5 |
| Sep ’24 | ر.س209.60 | ر.س233.33 +11.3% | 7.1% | ر.س255.00 | ر.س215.00 | ر.س208.60 | 3 |
| Aug ’24 | ر.س196.00 | ر.س194.00 -1.0% | 21.0% | ر.س230.00 | ر.س137.00 | ر.س227.00 | 3 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | ر.س154.33 0% | 9.5% | ر.س173.00 | ر.س137.00 | ر.س231.00 | 3 |
| Jun ’24 | ر.س141.60 | ر.س149.75 +5.8% | 10.0% | ر.س173.00 | ر.س136.00 | ر.س202.00 | 4 |
| May ’24 | ر.س129.80 | ر.س149.75 +15.4% | 10.0% | ر.س173.00 | ر.س136.00 | ر.س213.20 | 4 |
| Apr ’24 | ر.س122.00 | ر.س148.67 +21.9% | 11.6% | ر.س173.00 | ر.س136.00 | ر.س222.00 | 3 |
| Mar ’24 | ر.س113.00 | ر.س148.67 +31.6% | 11.6% | ر.س173.00 | ر.س136.00 | ر.س262.60 | 3 |
| Feb ’24 | ر.س109.80 | ر.س148.67 +35.4% | 11.6% | ر.س173.00 | ر.س136.00 | ر.س269.60 | 3 |
| Jan ’24 | ر.س106.80 | ر.س154.50 +44.7% | 12.0% | ر.س173.00 | ر.س136.00 | ر.س245.00 | 2 |
| Dec ’23 | ر.س111.60 | ر.س154.50 +38.4% | 12.0% | ر.س173.00 | ر.س136.00 | ر.س185.20 | 2 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.