Saudi Kayan Petrochemical Company

SASE:2350 Stock Report

Market Cap: ر.س11.3b

Saudi Kayan Petrochemical Valuation

Is 2350 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2350 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 2350 (SAR7.55) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SAR27.01)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 2350 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2350?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

2350 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA16.9x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 2350's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 2350 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.1x
2330 Advanced Petrochemical
4.3x48.3%ر.س9.3b
2310 Sahara International Petrochemical
2.6x5.3%ر.س18.8b
2290 Yanbu National Petrochemical
3.6x6.8%ر.س22.2b
2060 National Industrialization
1.9x2.3%ر.س7.3b
2350 Saudi Kayan Petrochemical
1.3x6.7%ر.س11.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 2350 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the peer average (3.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2350's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a42.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a42.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 2350 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the Asian Chemicals industry average (1.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2350's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2350 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.3x
Fair PS Ratio1.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 2350 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2350 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentر.س7.55
ر.س9.41
+24.7%
20.4%ر.س13.80ر.س7.30n/a9
Nov ’25ر.س7.78
ر.س9.70
+24.7%
20.1%ر.س13.80ر.س7.50n/a10
Oct ’25ر.س8.26
ر.س10.02
+21.3%
18.5%ر.س13.80ر.س8.00n/a10
Sep ’25ر.س8.51
ر.س10.02
+17.7%
18.5%ر.س13.80ر.س8.00n/a10
Aug ’25ر.س8.16
ر.س10.35
+26.8%
17.7%ر.س13.80ر.س8.00n/a10
Jul ’25ر.س8.05
ر.س10.48
+30.2%
16.1%ر.س13.80ر.س8.00n/a10
Jun ’25ر.س7.97
ر.س10.63
+33.4%
14.3%ر.س13.80ر.س8.50n/a10
May ’25ر.س9.28
ر.س10.63
+14.5%
14.3%ر.س13.80ر.س8.50n/a10
Apr ’25ر.س9.50
ر.س11.47
+20.7%
18.9%ر.س16.70ر.س9.00n/a10
Mar ’25ر.س9.65
ر.س11.49
+19.1%
18.7%ر.س16.70ر.س9.00n/a10
Feb ’25ر.س9.12
ر.س12.00
+31.6%
18.3%ر.س16.70ر.س9.00n/a9
Jan ’25ر.س10.96
ر.س12.73
+16.2%
17.8%ر.س16.70ر.س9.50n/a9
Dec ’24ر.س11.32
ر.س12.92
+14.2%
16.5%ر.س16.70ر.س9.50n/a9
Nov ’24ر.س10.46
ر.س13.29
+27.0%
14.5%ر.س16.70ر.س10.70ر.س7.789
Oct ’24ر.س12.50
ر.س13.57
+8.5%
14.4%ر.س16.70ر.س10.70ر.س8.269
Sep ’24ر.س12.18
ر.س13.36
+9.7%
12.1%ر.س15.00ر.س11.00ر.س8.519
Aug ’24ر.س12.04
ر.س13.61
+13.0%
13.0%ر.س16.20ر.س11.00ر.س8.169
Jul ’24n/a
ر.س13.55
0%
14.0%ر.س16.20ر.س11.00ر.س8.058
Jun ’24ر.س13.14
ر.س13.54
+3.0%
14.1%ر.س16.20ر.س11.00ر.س7.978
May ’24ر.س12.62
ر.س13.69
+8.5%
13.5%ر.س16.60ر.س11.20ر.س9.289
Apr ’24ر.س12.10
ر.س13.56
+12.0%
12.5%ر.س16.60ر.س11.20ر.س9.509
Mar ’24ر.س12.70
ر.س13.98
+10.0%
12.6%ر.س16.60ر.س11.20ر.س9.658
Feb ’24ر.س13.08
ر.س13.98
+6.8%
12.6%ر.س16.60ر.س11.20ر.س9.128
Jan ’24ر.س13.76
ر.س15.19
+10.4%
13.3%ر.س18.00ر.س11.20ر.س10.968
Dec ’23ر.س12.00
ر.س15.11
+25.9%
14.5%ر.س18.00ر.س11.80ر.س11.328
Nov ’23ر.س12.74
ر.س15.16
+19.0%
14.0%ر.س18.00ر.س12.00ر.س10.468

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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