Saudi Basic Industries Corporation

SASE:2010 Stock Report

Market Cap: ر.س183.8b

Saudi Basic Industries Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Saudi Basic Industries is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 60.8% and 4.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 65.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 7.6% in 3 years.

Key information

60.8%

Earnings growth rate

65.80%

EPS growth rate

Chemicals earnings growth48.8%
Revenue growth rate4.4%
Future return on equity7.61%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated30 Apr 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

2010: Dividend Reset And New Leadership Will Shape A Balanced Outlook

Analysts now set a fair value price target of SAR56.00 for Saudi Basic Industries, compared with the prior SAR54.00, reflecting updated views on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News The board approved interim cash dividends of SAR1.50 per share for the second half of 2025, with a total payout of SAR4.5b, payable on March 31, 2026, and an eligibility date of March 8, 2026 (Key Developments).

2010: New CEO And 2025 Dividend Policy Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have made a small downward tweak to their fair value estimate for Saudi Basic Industries to SAR84.86 from SAR85.38, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that they see as broadly consistent with prior expectations. What's in the News The board approved interim cash dividends of SAR 1.50 per share for the second half of 2025, with a total payout of SAR 4.5b, payable on March 31, 2026, and with an eligibility date of March 8, 2026 (company announcement).

2010: New CEO Appointment And 2025 Dividend Payout Will Support Upside

Analysts have made a small upward adjustment to their price target for Saudi Basic Industries to SAR 85.38 from SAR 85.07. This reflects updated assumptions around slightly lower revenue growth, a higher profit margin, a marginally reduced discount rate and a lower future P/E estimate.

2010: New CEO Appointment And 2025 Dividend Decision Will Drive Upside

Analysts now place their price target for Saudi Basic Industries at around SAR 85, trimmed from about SAR 87. This reflects updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples in their valuation work.

2010: Leadership Shift And Margin Outlook Will Shape A Measured Equity View

Analysts have raised their price target for Saudi Basic Industries from SAR 52.00 to SAR 54.00, reflecting updated views that combine softer revenue expectations with a higher projected profit margin and a slightly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Saudi Basic Industries appointed Dr. Faisal Mohammed Al Faqeer as its new CEO, succeeding Abdulrahman Al Fageeh, with the transition effective 1 April 2026 (Key Developments).

2010: Reserve Transfer And Margin Resilience Will Support Bullish Repricing

Analysts have kept their SAR63.30 price target for Saudi Basic Industries unchanged, citing slightly softer revenue expectations, a small improvement in projected profit margins, and a broadly stable future P/E assumption. What's in the News A special or extraordinary shareholders meeting is scheduled for December 31, 2025, in Riyadh at 19:00 Arab Standard Time to vote on transferring the general reserve balance of SAR 110,889,032,000 to the retained earnings account, based on the consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2024, and the interim statements for the third quarter of 2025 (Key Developments).

2010: Reserve Transfer Will Support Bullish Repricing Despite Revenue Headwinds

Analysts have slightly reduced their fair value estimate for Saudi Basic Industries to US$63.30 from about US$63.49, citing updated assumptions that now reflect weaker expected revenue growth, a higher profit margin outlook, and a broadly unchanged future P/E profile. What's in the News A special or extraordinary shareholders meeting is scheduled for December 31, 2025 in Riyadh to vote on transferring the general reserve balance of SAR 110,889,032,000 to the retained earnings account, based on the 2024 annual and Q3 2025 interim consolidated financial statements (company announcement).

Saudi Basic Industries Corporation's (TADAWUL:2010) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk

Feb 04
Saudi Basic Industries Corporation's (TADAWUL:2010) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk

2010: Reserve Transfer Decision Will Shape Future Upside Potential

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Saudi Basic Industries slightly lower, from about SAR 87.80 to roughly SAR 86.92. This reflects updated assumptions for weaker revenue growth, slimmer profit margins, and a much higher future P/E multiple.

2010: Legal Ruling And Reserve Transfer Will Support Bullish Repricing

Analysts kept their fair value estimate for Saudi Basic Industries steady at $63.49 per share, explaining that small adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions did not materially change their overall view of the company. What's in the News Saudi Basic Industries has called a special or extraordinary shareholders meeting for December 31, 2025, at 19:00 Arab Standard Time in Riyadh to vote on transferring a general reserve balance of SAR 110,889,032,000, as reported in the consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2024, and interim statements for the third quarter of 2025, to the retained earnings account (Key Developments).

2010: Legal Ruling And Higher Earnings Multiple Will Drive Bullish Repricing

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Saudi Basic Industries slightly, reducing fair value by about $0.19 to $63.49. This reflects expectations of stronger top line growth, offset by a modestly lower profit margin and a higher implied future earnings multiple.

2010: Legal Dispute And Higher Multiple Expectations Will Drive Bullish Repricing

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target on Saudi Basic Industries, revising their estimate of fair value to approximately $63.67. This adjustment reflects more conservative assumptions on revenue growth and profit margins, even though higher future valuation multiples are now expected.

Fujian Project And Digital Shifts Will Drive Future Value

With both revenue growth and future P/E forecasts holding steady, analysts have effectively maintained their fair value estimate for Saudi Basic Industries, with the consensus price target unchanged at SAR64.38. What's in the News SABIC will distribute interim cash dividends totaling SAR 4.5 billion at SAR 1.50 per share for H1 2025.

Investors Could Be Concerned With Saudi Basic Industries' (TADAWUL:2010) Returns On Capital

Jul 29
Investors Could Be Concerned With Saudi Basic Industries' (TADAWUL:2010) Returns On Capital

Fewer Investors Than Expected Jumping On Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (TADAWUL:2010)

Jun 17
Fewer Investors Than Expected Jumping On Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (TADAWUL:2010)

Some May Be Optimistic About Saudi Basic Industries' (TADAWUL:2010) Earnings

May 21
Some May Be Optimistic About Saudi Basic Industries' (TADAWUL:2010) Earnings
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SABIC's Decisive Focus On Innovation & Sustainability Poised To Boost Long-Term Growth

SABIC's portfolio optimization and asset divestment strategy aims to enhance capital efficiency and future net margins by investing in high-margin opportunities.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SASE:2010 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (SAR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2028128,3806,9529,61023,4965
12/31/2027124,9816,82710,18323,6557
12/31/2026132,5914,73114,09826,8382
12/31/2025116,525-1,4007,18415,959N/A
9/30/2025139,188-6,6947,88017,122N/A
6/30/2025141,736-6,0467,46216,864N/A
3/31/2025141,8892525,15414,292N/A
12/31/2024117,7365,0906,15816,359N/A
9/30/2024140,3172,4716,70316,452N/A
6/30/2024139,4121,9238,02617,500N/A
3/31/2024137,7911,1449,88019,776N/A
12/31/2023141,5371,30513,96024,453N/A
9/30/2023146,0413,13317,12828,690N/A
6/30/2023153,3824,23517,73029,300N/A
3/31/2023166,86710,10523,47935,085N/A
12/31/2022183,07715,78625,58635,810N/A
9/30/2022194,77620,40128,32338,184N/A
6/30/2022195,15824,35830,56540,900N/A
3/31/2022189,99424,67929,64340,064N/A
12/31/2021174,88323,06628,52239,494N/A
9/30/2021156,48920,34821,58133,889N/A
6/30/2021142,08715,84216,22728,775N/A
3/31/2021124,2875,97512,19824,787N/A
12/31/2020116,949678,89022,146N/A
9/30/2020115,784-3,07310,16025,304N/A
6/30/2020119,299-3,4249,99825,702N/A
3/31/2020128,21974410,93328,370N/A
12/31/2019135,3965,19815,28733,829N/A
9/30/2019143,9899,309N/A34,401N/A
6/30/2019154,89214,670N/A40,453N/A
3/31/2019164,63719,421N/A46,142N/A
12/31/2018169,12821,521N/A44,771N/A
9/30/2018169,18622,004N/A42,140N/A
6/30/2018164,15321,693N/A40,197N/A
3/31/2018155,30718,704N/A37,127N/A
12/31/2017149,76618,430N/A38,677N/A
9/30/2017146,91319,242N/A41,765N/A
6/30/2017144,03218,685N/A42,915N/A
3/31/2017145,85219,938N/A40,118N/A
12/31/2016142,99917,614N/A40,027N/A
9/30/2016138,59916,159N/A42,729N/A
6/30/2016140,15316,532N/A47,305N/A
3/31/2016145,99017,744N/A51,808N/A
12/31/2015148,08618,769N/A53,777N/A
9/30/2015158,53719,979N/A52,914N/A
6/30/2015169,25520,554N/A50,543N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 2010 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (15.1%).

Earnings vs Market: 2010 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: 2010 is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 2010's revenue (4.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the SA market (1.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 2010's revenue (4.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 2010's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (7.6%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/03 23:15
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/03 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Saudi Basic Industries Corporation is covered by 23 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullAlembic Global Advisors
Jassim Al-JubranAljazira Capital Company
Kais KriaaAlphaMena