Mouwasat Medical Services Company

SASE:4002 Stock Report

Market Cap: ر.س26.8b

Mouwasat Medical Services Valuation

Is 4002 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4002 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4002 (SAR134.2) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR109.73)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4002 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4002?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

4002 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue10.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA28.4x
PEG Ratio2.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4002's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4002 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average38.6x
4004 Dallah Healthcare
43.9x16.0%ر.س15.8b
4005 National Medical Care
34.6x14.0%ر.س8.3b
4007 Al Hammadi Holding
29.4x12.0%ر.س8.9b
4009 Middle East Healthcare
46.5x21.2%ر.س8.4b
4002 Mouwasat Medical Services
40.8x14.3%ر.س26.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4002 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.8x) compared to the peer average (38.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4002's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Healthcare Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4002 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.8x) compared to the Asian Healthcare industry average (22.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4002's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4002 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio40.8x
Fair PE Ratio41.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4002 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4002 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentر.س134.20
ر.س126.38
-5.8%
12.4%ر.س146.00ر.س96.90n/a13
Apr ’25ر.س136.80
ر.س120.50
-11.9%
14.7%ر.س146.00ر.س74.40n/a13
Mar ’25ر.س123.40
ر.س119.31
-3.3%
14.7%ر.س145.00ر.س71.30n/a12
Feb ’25ر.س120.20
ر.س117.06
-2.6%
14.8%ر.س145.00ر.س71.30n/a12
Jan ’25ر.س114.80
ر.س113.99
-0.7%
13.5%ر.س132.50ر.س71.30n/a12
Dec ’24ر.س112.60
ر.س112.31
-0.3%
13.0%ر.س132.50ر.س71.30n/a11
Nov ’24ر.س98.00
ر.س111.98
+14.3%
13.6%ر.س132.50ر.س68.70n/a11
Oct ’24ر.س106.00
ر.س113.05
+6.7%
13.0%ر.س132.50ر.س71.00n/a11
Sep ’24ر.س110.20
ر.س114.87
+4.2%
13.4%ر.س132.50ر.س71.00n/a11
Aug ’24ر.س126.50
ر.س114.60
-9.4%
13.4%ر.س132.50ر.س72.50n/a10
Jul ’24n/a
ر.س114.60
0%
13.4%ر.س132.50ر.س72.50n/a10
Jun ’24ر.س111.00
ر.س112.11
+1.0%
13.3%ر.س130.00ر.س72.50n/a9
May ’24ر.س125.60
ر.س113.40
-9.7%
15.7%ر.س135.00ر.س65.00ر.س134.0010
Apr ’24ر.س117.50
ر.س111.56
-5.1%
16.2%ر.س135.00ر.س64.50ر.س136.809
Mar ’24ر.س92.00
ر.س108.56
+18.0%
19.3%ر.س135.00ر.س54.00ر.س123.409
Feb ’24ر.س103.80
ر.س108.15
+4.2%
18.4%ر.س135.00ر.س54.00ر.س120.2010
Jan ’24ر.س104.50
ر.س109.78
+5.1%
21.1%ر.س141.05ر.س54.00ر.س114.809
Dec ’23ر.س96.50
ر.س111.67
+15.7%
21.9%ر.س141.05ر.س54.00ر.س112.609
Nov ’23ر.س109.70
ر.س108.84
-0.8%
21.3%ر.س141.05ر.س53.50ر.س98.009
Oct ’23ر.س99.00
ر.س108.84
+9.9%
21.3%ر.س141.05ر.س53.50ر.س106.009
Sep ’23ر.س122.50
ر.س109.34
-10.7%
20.1%ر.س141.05ر.س58.00ر.س110.209
Aug ’23ر.س128.20
ر.س107.40
-16.2%
20.0%ر.س141.05ر.س58.00ر.س126.5010
Jul ’23ر.س106.50
ر.س107.72
+1.1%
21.0%ر.س141.05ر.س58.00n/a9
Jun ’23ر.س107.40
ر.س107.17
-0.2%
21.0%ر.س141.05ر.س58.00ر.س111.009
May ’23ر.س120.50
ر.س101.60
-15.7%
14.3%ر.س123.00ر.س73.50ر.س125.6010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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