Savola Group Valuation

Is 2050 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2050 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 2050 (SAR51) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SAR65.86)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 2050 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2050?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

2050 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA18.1x
PEG Ratio2.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 2050's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 2050 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.7x
2280 Almarai
26.8x12.4%ر.س56.4b
2270 Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff
25.8x8.5%ر.س11.3b
2283 First Milling
19.9xn/aر.س4.4b
2284 Modern Mills
22.3xn/aر.س4.5b
2050 Savola Group
30.2x11.0%ر.س27.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 2050 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.2x) compared to the peer average (23.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2050's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Food Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 2050 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.2x) compared to the Asian Food industry average (18.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2050's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2050 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio30.2x
Fair PE Ratio31x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 2050 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2050 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentر.س51.00
ر.س47.46
-6.9%
19.7%ر.س63.20ر.س36.70n/a9
Apr ’25ر.س56.20
ر.س44.91
-20.1%
21.7%ر.س63.20ر.س36.70n/a9
Mar ’25ر.س53.00
ر.س44.91
-15.3%
21.7%ر.س63.20ر.س36.70n/a9
Feb ’25ر.س46.60
ر.س40.82
-12.4%
12.9%ر.س52.00ر.س34.00n/a8
Jan ’25ر.س38.10
ر.س38.94
+2.2%
6.5%ر.س42.00ر.س34.00n/a8
Dec ’24ر.س37.50
ر.س38.21
+1.9%
8.9%ر.س42.00ر.س32.40n/a8
Nov ’24ر.س36.20
ر.س39.03
+7.8%
7.8%ر.س42.00ر.س32.40n/a8
Oct ’24ر.س36.25
ر.س39.03
+7.7%
7.8%ر.س42.00ر.س32.40n/a8
Sep ’24ر.س37.90
ر.س38.97
+2.8%
8.0%ر.س42.00ر.س32.40n/a8
Aug ’24ر.س42.50
ر.س40.12
-5.6%
10.9%ر.س46.80ر.س32.40n/a8
Jul ’24n/a
ر.س38.32
0%
13.6%ر.س45.00ر.س28.67n/a8
Jun ’24ر.س37.20
ر.س37.82
+1.7%
13.3%ر.س45.00ر.س28.67n/a8
May ’24ر.س31.10
ر.س32.33
+4.0%
9.2%ر.س38.00ر.س27.05n/a8
Apr ’24ر.س27.95
ر.س32.09
+14.8%
9.3%ر.س38.00ر.س27.05ر.س56.208
Mar ’24ر.س27.35
ر.س32.38
+18.4%
9.5%ر.س38.00ر.س27.05ر.س53.008
Feb ’24ر.س30.10
ر.س32.38
+7.6%
9.5%ر.س38.00ر.س27.05ر.س46.608
Jan ’24ر.س28.05
ر.س32.26
+15.0%
9.8%ر.س38.00ر.س27.05ر.س38.108
Dec ’23ر.س28.25
ر.س32.26
+14.2%
9.8%ر.س38.00ر.س27.05ر.س37.508
Nov ’23ر.س29.15
ر.س33.94
+16.4%
7.8%ر.س38.00ر.س30.00ر.س36.209
Oct ’23ر.س28.35
ر.س34.75
+22.6%
7.7%ر.س39.10ر.س30.00ر.س36.259
Sep ’23ر.س31.80
ر.س35.45
+11.5%
10.0%ر.س42.10ر.س30.00ر.س37.909
Aug ’23ر.س33.80
ر.س36.22
+7.2%
11.4%ر.س42.40ر.س30.00ر.س42.509
Jul ’23ر.س33.60
ر.س35.87
+6.7%
11.2%ر.س42.40ر.س30.00n/a9
Jun ’23ر.س37.90
ر.س35.64
-6.0%
11.1%ر.س42.40ر.س30.00ر.س37.209
May ’23ر.س35.70
ر.س34.52
-3.3%
10.0%ر.س42.40ر.س30.00ر.س31.1010
Apr ’23ر.س36.45
ر.س35.62
-2.3%
11.7%ر.س43.00ر.س30.00ر.س27.9510

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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