Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services Valuation
Is 4200 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
1/6Valuation Score 1/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 4200 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 4200 (SAR111.4) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR52.09)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 4200 is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4200?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is 4200's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | ر.س11.14b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 25.9x |
| PEG Ratio | 2.3x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 4200's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 55.9x | ||
2030 Saudi Arabian Refineries | 155.7x | n/a | ر.س1.2b |
4030 National Shipping Company of Saudi Arabia | 12.4x | n/a | ر.س19.5b |
2381 Arabian Drilling | 19.7x | 10.9% | ر.س12.0b |
2382 ADES Holding | 35.8x | 19.6% | ر.س19.8b |
4200 Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services | 38.7x | 17.1% | ر.س11.1b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4200 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.7x) compared to the peer average (55.9x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 4200's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Oil and Gas Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4200 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.7x) compared to the Asian Oil and Gas industry average (10.4x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 4200's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 38.7x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 24.2x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4200 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.2x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | ر.س111.40 | ر.س112.95 +1.4% | 7.7% | ر.س128.09 | ر.س102.00 | n/a | 8 |
| May ’25 | ر.س126.75 | ر.س106.02 -16.4% | 14.8% | ر.س129.75 | ر.س75.00 | n/a | 9 |
| Apr ’25 | ر.س121.35 | ر.س106.02 -12.6% | 14.8% | ر.س129.75 | ر.س75.00 | n/a | 9 |
| Mar ’25 | ر.س135.30 | ر.س106.60 -21.2% | 15.6% | ر.س135.00 | ر.س75.00 | n/a | 9 |
| Feb ’25 | ر.س124.05 | ر.س101.06 -18.5% | 16.8% | ر.س135.00 | ر.س75.00 | n/a | 8 |
| Jan ’25 | ر.س136.05 | ر.س95.01 -30.2% | 10.5% | ر.س106.50 | ر.س75.00 | n/a | 8 |
| Dec ’24 | ر.س96.90 | ر.س94.77 -2.2% | 10.5% | ر.س106.50 | ر.س75.00 | n/a | 8 |
| Nov ’24 | ر.س86.40 | ر.س93.37 +8.1% | 9.2% | ر.س102.75 | ر.س75.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Oct ’24 | ر.س103.80 | ر.س94.94 -8.5% | 13.0% | ر.س111.00 | ر.س70.50 | n/a | 6 |
| Sep ’24 | ر.س102.00 | ر.س94.94 -6.9% | 13.0% | ر.س111.00 | ر.س70.50 | n/a | 6 |
| Aug ’24 | ر.س88.05 | ر.س93.98 +6.7% | 14.1% | ر.س111.00 | ر.س70.50 | n/a | 5 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | ر.س86.44 0% | 17.4% | ر.س111.00 | ر.س70.50 | n/a | 4 |
| Jun ’24 | ر.س83.40 | ر.س77.81 -6.7% | 6.4% | ر.س84.00 | ر.س70.50 | ر.س111.40 | 4 |
| May ’24 | ر.س76.35 | ر.س72.94 -4.5% | 8.2% | ر.س80.25 | ر.س64.50 | ر.س126.75 | 4 |
| Apr ’24 | ر.س71.18 | ر.س71.06 -0.2% | 7.8% | ر.س76.50 | ر.س62.25 | ر.س121.35 | 4 |
| Mar ’24 | ر.س63.68 | ر.س71.25 +11.9% | 9.0% | ر.س76.50 | ر.س62.25 | ر.س135.30 | 3 |
| Feb ’24 | ر.س59.70 | ر.س67.69 +13.4% | 7.5% | ر.س75.00 | ر.س62.25 | ر.س124.05 | 4 |
| Jan ’24 | ر.س55.58 | ر.س67.69 +21.8% | 7.5% | ر.س75.00 | ر.س62.25 | ر.س136.05 | 4 |
| Dec ’23 | ر.س55.13 | ر.س68.25 +23.8% | 6.6% | ر.س75.00 | ر.س63.75 | ر.س96.90 | 4 |
| Nov ’23 | ر.س53.55 | ر.س68.07 +27.1% | 6.0% | ر.س75.00 | ر.س63.75 | ر.س86.40 | 5 |
| Oct ’23 | ر.س50.85 | ر.س66.57 +30.9% | 5.8% | ر.س71.25 | ر.س60.75 | ر.س103.80 | 5 |
| Sep ’23 | ر.س51.75 | ر.س66.57 +28.6% | 5.8% | ر.س71.25 | ر.س60.75 | ر.س102.00 | 5 |
| Aug ’23 | ر.س57.00 | ر.س67.32 +18.1% | 5.3% | ر.س71.25 | ر.س60.75 | ر.س88.05 | 5 |
| Jul ’23 | ر.س50.03 | ر.س67.32 +34.6% | 5.3% | ر.س71.25 | ر.س60.75 | n/a | 5 |
| Jun ’23 | ر.س57.83 | ر.س67.32 +16.4% | 5.3% | ر.س71.25 | ر.س60.75 | ر.س83.40 | 5 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.