CATRION Catering Holding Company

SASE:6004 Stock Report

Market Cap: ر.س10.5b

CATRION Catering Holding Valuation

Is 6004 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6004 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6004 (SAR128.2) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR109.96)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6004 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6004?

Key metric: As 6004 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 6004. This is calculated by dividing 6004's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 6004's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio32.5x
Earningsر.س323.48m
Market Capر.س10.51b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6004's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6004 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average36.7x
1831 Maharah for Human Resources
21.9x15.7%ر.س3.0b
1834 Saudi Manpower Solutions
21.4x14.4%ر.س3.2b
PLX Pluxee
21.3x19.7%€2.8b
BYD Boyd Group Services
82.2x60.1%CA$4.7b
6004 CATRION Catering Holding
32.5x15.9%ر.س10.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6004 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.5x) compared to the peer average (36.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6004's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Commercial Services Industry?

12 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
6004 32.5xIndustry Avg. 16.7xNo. of Companies55PE01224364860+
12 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6004 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.5x) compared to the Asian Commercial Services industry average (16.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6004's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6004 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio32.5x
Fair PE Ratio24.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6004 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6004 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentر.س128.20
ر.س116.16
-9.4%
2.1%ر.س121.00ر.س114.30n/a5
Nov ’25ر.س119.00
ر.س113.95
-4.2%
5.0%ر.س121.00ر.س103.45n/a5
Oct ’25ر.س110.80
ر.س113.95
+2.8%
5.0%ر.س121.00ر.س103.45n/a5
Sep ’25ر.س116.80
ر.س113.95
-2.4%
5.0%ر.س121.00ر.س103.45n/a5
Aug ’25ر.س116.60
ر.س115.88
-0.6%
2.8%ر.س121.00ر.س112.20n/a4
Jul ’25ر.س123.00
ر.س113.58
-7.7%
5.8%ر.س123.00ر.س102.70n/a5
Jun ’25ر.س111.00
ر.س113.58
+2.3%
5.8%ر.س123.00ر.س102.70n/a5
May ’25ر.س126.60
ر.س114.38
-9.7%
5.8%ر.س123.00ر.س102.70n/a5
Apr ’25ر.س131.00
ر.س112.32
-14.3%
6.7%ر.س123.00ر.س102.00n/a6
Mar ’25ر.س133.60
ر.س114.24
-14.5%
6.0%ر.س123.00ر.س102.00n/a5
Feb ’25ر.س113.60
ر.س114.24
+0.6%
6.0%ر.س123.00ر.س102.00n/a5
Jan ’25ر.س129.40
ر.س114.24
-11.7%
6.0%ر.س123.00ر.س102.00n/a5
Dec ’24ر.س113.40
ر.س110.62
-2.5%
5.4%ر.س116.19ر.س102.00n/a5
Nov ’24ر.س105.40
ر.س109.23
+3.6%
5.4%ر.س116.00ر.س102.00ر.س119.004
Oct ’24ر.س101.60
ر.س109.23
+7.5%
5.4%ر.س116.00ر.س102.00ر.س110.804
Sep ’24ر.س107.80
ر.س106.48
-1.2%
9.3%ر.س116.00ر.س91.00ر.س116.804
Aug ’24ر.س125.80
ر.س106.48
-15.4%
9.3%ر.س116.00ر.س91.00ر.س116.604
Jul ’24n/a
ر.س106.48
0%
9.3%ر.س116.00ر.س91.00ر.س123.004
Jun ’24ر.س86.60
ر.س96.98
+12.0%
14.1%ر.س114.00ر.س78.00ر.س111.004
May ’24ر.س93.50
ر.س91.25
-2.4%
9.2%ر.س101.00ر.س78.00ر.س126.604
Apr ’24ر.س85.80
ر.س91.20
+6.3%
9.2%ر.س101.00ر.س78.00ر.س131.004
Mar ’24ر.س80.40
ر.س91.25
+13.5%
9.2%ر.س101.00ر.س78.00ر.س133.604
Feb ’24ر.س76.80
ر.س91.25
+18.8%
9.2%ر.س101.00ر.س78.00ر.س113.604
Jan ’24ر.س74.00
ر.س91.25
+23.3%
9.2%ر.س101.00ر.س78.00ر.س129.404
Dec ’23ر.س77.20
ر.س91.20
+18.1%
9.2%ر.س101.00ر.س78.00ر.س113.404
Nov ’23ر.س77.30
ر.س90.75
+17.4%
15.8%ر.س114.00ر.س78.00ر.س105.404

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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