CATRION Catering Holding Company

SASE:6004 Stock Report

Market Cap: ر.س10.0b

CATRION Catering Holding Valuation

Is 6004 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6004 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6004 (SAR122) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR109.2)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6004 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6004?

Key metric: As 6004 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 6004. This is calculated by dividing 6004's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 6004's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio30.9x
Earningsر.س323.48m
Market Capر.س10.00b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6004's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6004 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average44.6x
1831 Maharah for Human Resources
20.2x15.9%ر.س2.7b
1834 Saudi Manpower Solutions
20.4x14.4%ر.س3.0b
BYD Boyd Group Services
78.3x60.1%CA$4.6b
59.4x48.0%US$2.0b
6004 CATRION Catering Holding
30.9x15.9%ر.س10.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6004 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.9x) compared to the peer average (44.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6004's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Commercial Services Industry?

15 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
6004 30.9xIndustry Avg. 17.1xNo. of Companies73PE01632486480+
15 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6004 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.9x) compared to the Asian Commercial Services industry average (17.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6004's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6004 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio30.9x
Fair PE Ratio24.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6004 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6004 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentر.س122.00
ر.س116.76
-4.3%
3.1%ر.س124.00ر.س114.30n/a5
Dec ’25ر.س125.00
ر.س116.16
-7.1%
2.1%ر.س121.00ر.س114.30n/a5
Nov ’25ر.س119.00
ر.س113.95
-4.2%
5.0%ر.س121.00ر.س103.45n/a5
Oct ’25ر.س110.80
ر.س113.95
+2.8%
5.0%ر.س121.00ر.س103.45n/a5
Sep ’25ر.س116.80
ر.س113.95
-2.4%
5.0%ر.س121.00ر.س103.45n/a5
Aug ’25ر.س116.60
ر.س115.88
-0.6%
2.8%ر.س121.00ر.س112.20n/a4
Jul ’25ر.س123.00
ر.س113.58
-7.7%
5.8%ر.س123.00ر.س102.70n/a5
Jun ’25ر.س111.00
ر.س113.58
+2.3%
5.8%ر.س123.00ر.س102.70n/a5
May ’25ر.س126.60
ر.س114.38
-9.7%
5.8%ر.س123.00ر.س102.70n/a5
Apr ’25ر.س131.00
ر.س112.32
-14.3%
6.7%ر.س123.00ر.س102.00n/a6
Mar ’25ر.س133.60
ر.س114.24
-14.5%
6.0%ر.س123.00ر.س102.00n/a5
Feb ’25ر.س113.60
ر.س114.24
+0.6%
6.0%ر.س123.00ر.س102.00n/a5
Jan ’25ر.س129.40
ر.س114.24
-11.7%
6.0%ر.س123.00ر.س102.00n/a5
Dec ’24ر.س113.40
ر.س110.62
-2.5%
5.4%ر.س116.19ر.س102.00ر.س125.005
Nov ’24ر.س105.40
ر.س109.23
+3.6%
5.4%ر.س116.00ر.س102.00ر.س119.004
Oct ’24ر.س101.60
ر.س109.23
+7.5%
5.4%ر.س116.00ر.س102.00ر.س110.804
Sep ’24ر.س107.80
ر.س106.48
-1.2%
9.3%ر.س116.00ر.س91.00ر.س116.804
Aug ’24ر.س125.80
ر.س106.48
-15.4%
9.3%ر.س116.00ر.س91.00ر.س116.604
Jul ’24n/a
ر.س106.48
0%
9.3%ر.س116.00ر.س91.00ر.س123.004
Jun ’24ر.س86.60
ر.س96.98
+12.0%
14.1%ر.س114.00ر.س78.00ر.س111.004
May ’24ر.س93.50
ر.س91.25
-2.4%
9.2%ر.س101.00ر.س78.00ر.س126.604
Apr ’24ر.س85.80
ر.س91.20
+6.3%
9.2%ر.س101.00ر.س78.00ر.س131.004
Mar ’24ر.س80.40
ر.س91.25
+13.5%
9.2%ر.س101.00ر.س78.00ر.س133.604
Feb ’24ر.س76.80
ر.س91.25
+18.8%
9.2%ر.س101.00ر.س78.00ر.س113.604
Jan ’24ر.س74.00
ر.س91.25
+23.3%
9.2%ر.س101.00ر.س78.00ر.س129.404
Dec ’23ر.س77.20
ر.س91.20
+18.1%
9.2%ر.س101.00ر.س78.00ر.س113.404

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/25 08:00
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/25 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

CATRION Catering Holding Company is covered by 8 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jassim Al-JubranAljazira Capital Company
Michel SalamehArqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L.
Hasnain MalikCitigroup Inc