Stock Analysis

Here's Why Rosseti Lenenergo (MCX:LSNG) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

MISX:LSNG
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Public Joint stock company Rosseti Lenenergo (MCX:LSNG) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Rosseti Lenenergo

What Is Rosseti Lenenergo's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Rosseti Lenenergo had debt of â‚˝24.4b at the end of March 2021, a reduction from â‚˝25.6b over a year. On the flip side, it has â‚˝2.58b in cash leading to net debt of about â‚˝21.8b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
MISX:LSNG Debt to Equity History September 21st 2021

How Healthy Is Rosseti Lenenergo's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Rosseti Lenenergo had liabilities of â‚˝39.1b due within a year, and liabilities of â‚˝31.6b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had â‚˝2.58b in cash and â‚˝4.78b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total â‚˝63.4b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of â‚˝67.9b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Rosseti Lenenergo's net debt is only 0.59 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 18.2 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. And we also note warmly that Rosseti Lenenergo grew its EBIT by 12% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Rosseti Lenenergo's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Rosseti Lenenergo recorded free cash flow of 20% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for Rosseti Lenenergo was the fact that it seems able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT confidently. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. For example, its level of total liabilities makes us a little nervous about its debt. It's also worth noting that Rosseti Lenenergo is in the Electric Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Rosseti Lenenergo's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Rosseti Lenenergo that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About MISX:LSNG

Rosseti Lenenergo

Public Joint stock company Rosseti Lenenergo engages in the transmission and distribution of electricity in the Russian Federation.

Good value with proven track record.