Stock Analysis

Raspadskaya's (MCX:RASP) Dividend Will Be Increased To ₽23.00

MISX:RASP
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Public Joint Stock Company Raspadskaya's (MCX:RASP) dividend will be increasing to ₽23.00 on 1st of January. This takes the dividend yield from 6.1% to 7.6%, which shareholders will be pleased with.

While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Raspadskaya's stock price has increased by 54% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.

See our latest analysis for Raspadskaya

Raspadskaya Doesn't Earn Enough To Cover Its Payments

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Based on the last payment, the dividend made up 87% of cash flows, but a higher proportion of net income. This indicates that the company could be more focused on returning cash to shareholders than reinvesting to grow the business.

Earnings per share could rise by 3.4% over the next year if things go the same way as they have for the last few years. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could reach 7,426%, which probably can't continue without starting to put some pressure on the balance sheet.

historic-dividend
MISX:RASP Historic Dividend September 6th 2021

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2011, the dividend has gone from US$0.31 to US$0.31. Dividend payments have grown at less than 1% a year over this period. We're glad to see the dividend has risen, but with a limited rate of growth and fluctuations in the payments the total shareholder return may be limited.

The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. However, Raspadskaya has only grown its earnings per share at 3.4% per annum over the past five years. So the company has struggled to grow its EPS yet it's still paying out 103% of its earnings. This gives limited room for the company to raise the dividend in the future.

Raspadskaya's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Raspadskaya's payments are rock solid. The track record isn't great, and the payments are a bit high to be considered sustainable. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 2 warning signs for Raspadskaya that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. We have also put together a list of global stocks with a solid dividend.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About MISX:RASP

Raspadskaya

Public Joint Stock Company Raspadskaya, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the mining of coking coal.

Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.