What underlying fundamental trends can indicate that a company might be in decline? A business that's potentially in decline often shows two trends, a return on capital employed (ROCE) that's declining, and a base of capital employed that's also declining. This combination can tell you that not only is the company investing less, it's earning less on what it does invest. So after glancing at the trends within Aamal Company Q.P.S.C (DSM:AHCS), we weren't too hopeful.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Aamal Company Q.P.S.C:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.026 = ر.ق217m ÷ (ر.ق8.9b - ر.ق550m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).
So, Aamal Company Q.P.S.C has an ROCE of 2.6%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Industrials industry average of 5.0%.
See our latest analysis for Aamal Company Q.P.S.C
In the above chart we have measured Aamal Company Q.P.S.C's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
How Are Returns Trending?
We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at Aamal Company Q.P.S.C. To be more specific, the ROCE was 6.1% five years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. On top of that, it's worth noting that the amount of capital employed within the business has remained relatively steady. Companies that exhibit these attributes tend to not be shrinking, but they can be mature and facing pressure on their margins from competition. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect Aamal Company Q.P.S.C to turn into a multi-bagger.
The Bottom Line
In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn't typically an indication that we're looking at a growth stock. And, the stock has remained flat over the last five years, so investors don't seem too impressed either. That being the case, unless the underlying trends revert to a more positive trajectory, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
If you'd like to know about the risks facing Aamal Company Q.P.S.C, we've discovered 3 warning signs that you should be aware of.
While Aamal Company Q.P.S.C isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About DSM:AHCS
Aamal Company Q.P.S.C
Engages in the property, trading and distribution, industrial manufacturing, and managed services businesses in Qatar and internationally.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.