Stock Analysis

At €1.49, Is It Time To Put Mota-Engil, SGPS, S.A. (ELI:EGL) On Your Watch List?

ENXTLS:EGL
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Mota-Engil, SGPS, S.A. (ELI:EGL), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the ENXTLS, rising to highs of €1.52 and falling to the lows of €1.36. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Mota-Engil SGPS' current trading price of €1.49 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Mota-Engil SGPS’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

Check out our latest analysis for Mota-Engil SGPS

Is Mota-Engil SGPS still cheap?

Mota-Engil SGPS is currently expensive based on my price multiple model, where I look at the company's price-to-earnings ratio in comparison to the industry average. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 25.36x is currently well-above the industry average of 14.32x, meaning that it is trading at a more expensive price relative to its peers. But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Mota-Engil SGPS’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

Can we expect growth from Mota-Engil SGPS?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ENXTLS:EGL Earnings and Revenue Growth March 15th 2021

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Mota-Engil SGPS' earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? EGL’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above industry price multiples. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe EGL should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on EGL for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for EGL, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Mota-Engil SGPS (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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