Apple Valuation

Is AAPL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AAPL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AAPL (PLN952.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (PLN946.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AAPL is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AAPL?

Key metric: As AAPL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AAPL. This is calculated by dividing AAPL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AAPL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio36.9x
EarningsUS$93.74b
Market CapUS$3.46t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AAPL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AAPL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.8x
A005930 Samsung Electronics
11.9x12.4%₩376.9t
DELL Dell Technologies
24.6x14.3%US$94.0b
1810 Xiaomi
33.7x19.6%HK$701.3b
2382 Quanta Computer
20.9x19.7%NT$1.1t
AAPL Apple
36.9x10.2%zł3.5t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AAPL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.9x) compared to the peer average (22.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AAPL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Tech Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AAPL 36.9xIndustry Avg. 22.0xNo. of Companies3PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AAPL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.9x) compared to the Global Tech industry average (22x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AAPL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AAPL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio36.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AAPL's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AAPL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentzł952.50
zł1,005.80
+5.6%
10.8%zł1,234.23zł756.99n/a42
Nov ’25zł920.00
zł973.99
+5.9%
12.2%zł1,207.62zł740.67n/a42
Oct ’25zł885.80
zł917.96
+3.6%
12.9%zł1,147.38zł707.55n/a41
Sep ’25zł894.20
zł910.91
+1.9%
13.8%zł1,159.86zł695.92n/a42
Aug ’25zł874.40
zł897.24
+2.6%
14.4%zł1,190.10zł674.39n/a41
Jul ’25n/a
zł850.09
0%
14.1%zł1,106.90zł503.14n/a42
Jun ’25n/a
zł804.45
0%
12.2%zł1,083.39zł492.45n/a42
May ’25n/a
zł800.98
0%
12.1%zł1,006.40zł503.20n/a44
Apr ’25n/a
zł800.60
0%
12.3%zł999.85zł499.93n/a43
Mar ’25n/a
zł800.70
0%
12.2%zł997.65zł498.83n/a43
Feb ’25n/a
zł805.24
0%
12.6%zł1,008.45zł504.23n/a43
Jan ’25n/a
zł784.24
0%
12.8%zł984.35zł456.74n/a44
Dec ’24n/a
zł786.13
0%
12.2%zł960.26zł464.13n/a44
Nov ’24n/a
zł830.77
0%
12.1%zł1,010.81zł488.56zł920.0044
Oct ’24n/a
zł869.16
0%
11.9%zł1,047.02zł545.33zł885.8044
Sep ’24n/a
zł822.64
0%
11.2%zł986.95zł612.73zł894.2043
Aug ’24n/a
zł790.01
0%
13.9%zł971.76zł469.68zł874.4043
Jul ’24n/a
zł758.09
0%
12.0%zł975.58zł471.53n/a42
Jun ’24n/a
zł752.61
0%
11.5%zł882.13zł487.27n/a41
May ’24n/a
zł717.48
0%
12.7%zł881.83zł487.11n/a42
Apr ’24n/a
zł734.84
0%
12.3%zł911.80zł503.66n/a42
Mar ’24n/a
zł748.36
0%
11.9%zł933.58zł515.69n/a42
Feb ’24n/a
zł728.40
0%
12.4%zł910.04zł511.35n/a42
Jan ’24n/a
zł762.18
0%
12.1%zł929.08zł522.06n/a42
Dec ’23n/a
zł811.25
0%
11.3%zł977.24zł567.73n/a41
Nov ’23n/a
zł841.13
0%
10.9%zł999.18zł580.48n/a41

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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