Xiaomi Valuation

Is 1810 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1810 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1810 (HK$16.54) is trading above our estimate of fair value (HK$7.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1810 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1810?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

1810 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA15x
PEG Ratio2.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1810's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1810 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33.5x
992 Lenovo Group
16.2x19.4%HK$127.5b
1401 Sprocomm Intelligence
81.2xn/aHK$2.8b
1263 PC Partner Group
26.9xn/aHK$1.6b
3969 China Railway Signal & Communication
9.9x9.5%HK$63.9b
1810 Xiaomi
22x10.4%HK$412.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1810 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22x) compared to the peer average (33.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1810's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Tech Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a22.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a22.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1810 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22x) compared to the Asian Tech industry average (23.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1810's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1810 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22x
Fair PE Ratio20.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1810 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1810 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$16.54
HK$22.05
+33.3%
15.5%HK$30.29HK$14.99n/a29
Jul ’25HK$16.48
HK$21.87
+32.7%
17.1%HK$30.36HK$13.90n/a28
Jun ’25HK$17.48
HK$21.84
+25.0%
17.0%HK$30.36HK$13.97n/a29
May ’25HK$17.32
HK$19.66
+13.5%
17.8%HK$31.24HK$13.98n/a28
Apr ’25HK$14.94
HK$18.36
+22.9%
19.2%HK$27.70HK$10.60n/a29
Mar ’25HK$13.32
HK$18.09
+35.8%
20.7%HK$27.18HK$10.66n/a27
Feb ’25HK$12.38
HK$18.67
+50.8%
17.7%HK$24.94HK$10.67n/a27
Jan ’25HK$15.60
HK$18.52
+18.7%
18.2%HK$24.90HK$10.78n/a29
Dec ’24HK$15.16
HK$18.29
+20.7%
18.8%HK$24.94HK$10.73n/a29
Nov ’24HK$14.22
HK$15.06
+5.9%
19.0%HK$20.20HK$7.62n/a28
Oct ’24HK$12.34
HK$14.56
+18.0%
18.1%HK$19.89HK$7.64n/a28
Sep ’24HK$12.36
HK$14.75
+19.3%
18.1%HK$20.06HK$7.71n/a28
Aug ’24HK$12.16
HK$13.51
+11.1%
18.5%HK$19.61HK$7.74n/a28
Jul ’24HK$10.72
HK$13.32
+24.2%
18.7%HK$19.55HK$7.72HK$16.4828
Jun ’24HK$10.26
HK$13.54
+32.0%
18.8%HK$19.90HK$7.86HK$17.4828
May ’24HK$11.06
HK$13.89
+25.6%
19.6%HK$19.97HK$8.09HK$17.3227
Apr ’24HK$12.10
HK$13.87
+14.6%
19.6%HK$19.77HK$8.09HK$14.9427
Mar ’24HK$12.60
HK$13.68
+8.6%
23.2%HK$19.64HK$5.21HK$13.3227
Feb ’24HK$13.50
HK$12.49
-7.5%
20.9%HK$16.70HK$5.57HK$12.3828
Jan ’24HK$10.94
HK$11.86
+8.4%
19.8%HK$16.04HK$5.35HK$15.6029
Dec ’23HK$10.46
HK$11.72
+12.0%
19.9%HK$16.17HK$5.36HK$15.1629
Nov ’23HK$9.25
HK$12.08
+30.6%
20.7%HK$16.30HK$6.10HK$14.2229
Oct ’23HK$8.96
HK$13.15
+46.7%
21.8%HK$18.21HK$6.24HK$12.3431
Sep ’23HK$11.38
HK$13.44
+18.1%
21.9%HK$18.62HK$6.23HK$12.3631
Aug ’23HK$12.14
HK$14.57
+20.0%
26.3%HK$27.39HK$7.35HK$12.1632
Jul ’23HK$13.64
HK$14.75
+8.1%
26.9%HK$27.67HK$7.44HK$10.7231

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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