Stock Analysis

There Are Some Holes In Komputronik's (WSE:KOM) Solid Earnings Release

WSE:KOM
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Investors appear disappointed with Komputronik S.A.'s (WSE:KOM) recent earnings, despite the decent statutory profit number. Our analysis has found some underlying factors which may be cause for concern.

See our latest analysis for Komputronik

earnings-and-revenue-history
WSE:KOM Earnings and Revenue History December 23rd 2023

Examining Cashflow Against Komputronik's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Komputronik has an accrual ratio of 0.59 for the year to September 2023. Ergo, its free cash flow is significantly weaker than its profit. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, it produced free cash flow of zł5.2m during the period, falling well short of its reported profit of zł126.2m. At this point we should mention that Komputronik did manage to increase its free cash flow in the last twelve months Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Komputronik.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Komputronik's profit was boosted by unusual items worth zł1.7m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Komputronik had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to September 2023. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

Our Take On Komputronik's Profit Performance

Komputronik had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. On reflection, the above-mentioned factors give us the strong impression that Komputronik'sunderlying earnings power is not as good as it might seem, based on the statutory profit numbers. If you'd like to know more about Komputronik as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example, Komputronik has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

Our examination of Komputronik has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.