David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Inpro S.A. (WSE:INP) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Inpro
What Is Inpro's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 Inpro had zł89.5m of debt, an increase on zł68.4m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of zł59.7m, its net debt is less, at about zł29.8m.
How Healthy Is Inpro's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Inpro had liabilities of zł285.0m due within a year, and liabilities of zł81.0m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of zł59.7m as well as receivables valued at zł8.01m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total zł298.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the zł186.6m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Inpro would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Inpro has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.44. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 22.1 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. On top of that, Inpro grew its EBIT by 34% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Inpro will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Inpro's free cash flow amounted to 47% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
We feel some trepidation about Inpro's difficulty level of total liabilities, but we've got positives to focus on, too. To wit both its interest cover and EBIT growth rate were encouraging signs. We think that Inpro's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Inpro .
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About WSE:INP
Inpro
Engages in the construction and sale of residential and commercial real estate properties in Poland.
Excellent balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.