Stock Analysis

Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Rank Progress S.A. (WSE:RNK) Even After 34% Share Price Boost

WSE:RNK
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Despite an already strong run, Rank Progress S.A. (WSE:RNK) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 34% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 62%.

Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Rank Progress' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Poland, where the median P/E ratio is around 13x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Rank Progress over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing earnings performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

View our latest analysis for Rank Progress

pe-multiple-vs-industry
WSE:RNK Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 29th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Rank Progress' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Rank Progress' Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Rank Progress' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 38% decrease to the company's bottom line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 1,095% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 8.5% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's curious that Rank Progress' P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Rank Progress' P/E

Rank Progress' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/E level with the market. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Rank Progress currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

It is also worth noting that we have found 5 warning signs for Rank Progress (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Rank Progress is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.