Stock Analysis

HM Inwest S.A. (WSE:HMI) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 26%

WSE:HMI
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HM Inwest S.A. (WSE:HMI) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 36%, which is great even in a bull market.

Since its price has dipped substantially, given about half the companies in Poland have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 12x, you may consider HM Inwest as an attractive investment with its 9.2x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

HM Inwest certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for HM Inwest

pe-multiple-vs-industry
WSE:HMI Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 22nd 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on HM Inwest will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is HM Inwest's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, HM Inwest would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 85% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 47% drop in EPS in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 14% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we are not surprised that HM Inwest is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Bottom Line On HM Inwest's P/E

HM Inwest's P/E has taken a tumble along with its share price. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of HM Inwest revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

Having said that, be aware HM Inwest is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are significant.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if HM Inwest might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.