Stock Analysis

Getting In Cheap On MFO S.A. (WSE:MFO) Is Unlikely

WSE:MFO
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There wouldn't be many who think MFO S.A.'s (WSE:MFO) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Metals and Mining industry in Poland is very similar. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for MFO

ps-multiple-vs-industry
WSE:MFO Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 3rd 2025

How MFO Has Been Performing

MFO has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to only match most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on MFO will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is MFO's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like MFO's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 6.9%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 26% overall drop in revenue. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 7.4% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that MFO's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What Does MFO's P/S Mean For Investors?

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

The fact that MFO currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with MFO (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're unsure about the strength of MFO's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.