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We Think KLON Spólka Akcyjna (WSE:KLN) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that KLON Spólka Akcyjna (WSE:KLN) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for KLON Spólka Akcyjna
What Is KLON Spólka Akcyjna's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that KLON Spólka Akcyjna had debt of zł11.5m at the end of September 2020, a reduction from zł14.0m over a year. However, it also had zł1.36m in cash, and so its net debt is zł10.1m.
How Healthy Is KLON Spólka Akcyjna's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that KLON Spólka Akcyjna had liabilities of zł5.40m due within 12 months and liabilities of zł13.8m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had zł1.36m in cash and zł2.42m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total zł15.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of zł20.1m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on KLON Spólka Akcyjna's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
While KLON Spólka Akcyjna's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.3) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 1.4, suggesting high leverage. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Worse, KLON Spólka Akcyjna's EBIT was down 42% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is KLON Spólka Akcyjna's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, KLON Spólka Akcyjna generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 86% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
Our View
To be frank both KLON Spólka Akcyjna's interest cover and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making KLON Spólka Akcyjna stock a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Take risks, for example - KLON Spólka Akcyjna has 5 warning signs (and 3 which are potentially serious) we think you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About WSE:KLN
KLON Spólka Akcyjna
Produces and sells timber, elements, and glued boards in Poland and internationally.
Low and slightly overvalued.