If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Having said that, while the ROCE is currently high for IMC (WSE:IMC), we aren't jumping out of our chairs because returns are decreasing.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for IMC, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.23 = US$86m ÷ (US$437m - US$56m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2021).
Therefore, IMC has an ROCE of 23%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the Food industry average of 8.8%.
View our latest analysis for IMC
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for IMC's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you'd like to look at how IMC has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Does the ROCE Trend For IMC Tell Us?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at IMC doesn't inspire confidence. Historically returns on capital were even higher at 41%, but they have dropped over the last five years. However it looks like IMC might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
On a related note, IMC has decreased its current liabilities to 13% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
The Bottom Line
To conclude, we've found that IMC is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Yet to long term shareholders the stock has gifted them an incredible 384% return in the last five years, so the market appears to be rosy about its future. But if the trajectory of these underlying trends continue, we think the likelihood of it being a multi-bagger from here isn't high.
If you'd like to know about the risks facing IMC, we've discovered 2 warning signs that you should be aware of.
If you want to search for more stocks that have been earning high returns, check out this free list of stocks with solid balance sheets that are also earning high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:IMC
IMC
Operates as an integrated agricultural company in Ukraine and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.