David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Zamet S.A. (WSE:ZMT) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
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How Much Debt Does Zamet Carry?
As you can see below, Zamet had zł6.03m of debt at September 2020, down from zł29.8m a year prior. However, its balance sheet shows it holds zł33.7m in cash, so it actually has zł27.6m net cash.
A Look At Zamet's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Zamet had liabilities of zł40.1m falling due within a year, and liabilities of zł25.3m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had zł33.7m in cash and zł68.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has zł37.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus strongly suggests that Zamet has a rock-solid balance sheet (and the debt is of no concern whatsoever). On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master. Simply put, the fact that Zamet has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
It is just as well that Zamet's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 40% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Zamet's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Zamet may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, Zamet actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Summing up
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Zamet has net cash of zł27.6m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with free cash flow of zł35m, being 127% of its EBIT. So is Zamet's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Zamet that you should be aware of before investing here.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About WSE:ZMT
Zamet
Manufactures and sells industrial steel structures, machinery, and equipment in Poland and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet low.