Visa Valuation

Is VISA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VISA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
zł1.31k
Fair Value
0.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
36
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: VISA (PLN1306.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (PLN1314.37)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VISA is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VISA?

Key metric: As VISA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for VISA. This is calculated by dividing VISA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is VISA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio32.2x
EarningsUS$19.46b
Market CapUS$626.79b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VISA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VISA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average37.4x
MA Mastercard
39.1x12.0%US$481.6b
FI Fiserv
38.7x19.0%US$118.7b
PYPL PayPal Holdings
20.8x6.4%US$92.0b
SQ Block
51.2x23.8%US$53.9b
VISA Visa
32.2x9.1%zł626.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VISA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.2x) compared to the peer average (37.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VISA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Diversified Financial Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VISA 32.2xIndustry Avg. 11.5xNo. of Companies11PE01020304050+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VISA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.2x) compared to the European Diversified Financial industry average (11.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VISA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VISA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio32.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate VISA's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VISA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
zł1,403.99
0%
8.5%zł1,567.68zł1,136.86n/a36
Jan ’26n/a
zł1,363.25
0%
8.1%zł1,540.20zł1,125.87n/a35
Dec ’25n/a
zł1,324.58
0%
6.6%zł1,478.12zł1,116.80n/a35
Nov ’25zł1,190.00
zł1,280.60
+7.6%
6.7%zł1,408.89zł1,066.73n/a35
Oct ’25zł1,056.20
zł1,180.26
+11.7%
6.2%zł1,264.99zł966.02n/a35
Sep ’25n/a
zł1,158.58
0%
7.1%zł1,260.65zł958.88n/a34
Aug ’25n/a
zł1,190.50
0%
7.1%zł1,299.08zł984.15n/a34
Jul ’25n/a
zł1,235.99
0%
5.7%zł1,343.82zł1,063.02n/a34
Jun ’25n/a
zł1,206.46
0%
6.0%zł1,312.09zł1,018.34n/a34
May ’25n/a
zł1,240.47
0%
6.6%zł1,358.76zł1,054.56n/a35
Apr ’25n/a
zł1,200.78
0%
6.1%zł1,335.01zł1,036.13n/a34
Mar ’25n/a
zł1,211.99
0%
5.7%zł1,321.08zł1,053.62n/a35
Feb ’25n/a
zł1,177.04
0%
6.5%zł1,294.32zł1,032.28n/a35
Jan ’25n/a
zł1,111.01
0%
7.4%zł1,279.66zł866.23n/a35
Dec ’24n/a
zł1,105.44
0%
6.7%zł1,300.36zł880.24n/a35
Nov ’24n/a
zł1,154.57
0%
6.9%zł1,361.82zł921.84zł1,190.0035
Oct ’24n/a
zł1,212.21
0%
7.9%zł1,467.72zł961.00zł1,056.2033
Sep ’24n/a
zł1,140.96
0%
7.5%zł1,383.28zł905.72n/a34
Aug ’24n/a
zł1,092.26
0%
10.1%zł1,345.48zł660.73n/a35
Jul ’24n/a
zł1,093.37
0%
5.8%zł1,230.30zł902.22n/a34
Jun ’24n/a
zł1,126.61
0%
5.9%zł1,265.46zł928.00n/a34
May ’24n/a
zł1,112.02
0%
9.4%zł1,259.76zł608.88n/a34
Apr ’24n/a
zł1,150.86
0%
9.4%zł1,297.55zł642.13n/a34
Mar ’24n/a
zł1,150.86
0%
9.4%zł1,297.55zł642.13n/a34
Feb ’24n/a
zł1,124.98
0%
9.7%zł1,272.67zł629.82n/a34
Jan ’24n/a
zł1,087.56
0%
10.6%zł1,275.91zł637.96n/a32
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 36 Analysts
zł1.38k
Fair Value
5.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
36
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/19 21:44
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/09 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Visa Inc. is covered by 80 analysts. 35 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Stephen BiggarArgus Research Company
David KoningBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research