There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after investigating AmRest Holdings (WSE:EAT), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for AmRest Holdings, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.079 = €131m ÷ (€2.2b - €585m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).
So, AmRest Holdings has an ROCE of 7.9%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Hospitality industry average of 18%.
View our latest analysis for AmRest Holdings
In the above chart we have measured AmRest Holdings' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
The Trend Of ROCE
There are better returns on capital out there than what we're seeing at AmRest Holdings. Over the past five years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 7.9% and the business has deployed 114% more capital into its operations. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.
What We Can Learn From AmRest Holdings' ROCE
Long story short, while AmRest Holdings has been reinvesting its capital, the returns that it's generating haven't increased. And in the last five years, the stock has given away 36% so the market doesn't look too hopeful on these trends strengthening any time soon. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.
On a separate note, we've found 1 warning sign for AmRest Holdings you'll probably want to know about.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:EAT
AmRest Holdings
Operates and manages quick service, fast casual, coffee, and casual dining restaurants in Central and Eastern Europe, Western Europe, China, and internationally.
Good value with reasonable growth potential.