Stock Analysis

AmRest Holdings (WSE:EAT) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

WSE:EAT
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, AmRest Holdings SE (WSE:EAT) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for AmRest Holdings

How Much Debt Does AmRest Holdings Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that AmRest Holdings had €620.7m of debt in March 2024, down from €684.6m, one year before. However, it does have €167.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €453.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
WSE:EAT Debt to Equity History August 1st 2024

How Strong Is AmRest Holdings' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that AmRest Holdings had liabilities of €556.7m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €1.36b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €167.1m as well as receivables valued at €94.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €1.65b.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of €1.26b, we think shareholders really should watch AmRest Holdings's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While AmRest Holdings has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 1.9, its interest cover seems weak, at 2.5. This does suggest the company is paying fairly high interest rates. In any case, it's safe to say the company has meaningful debt. It is well worth noting that AmRest Holdings's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 43% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine AmRest Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, AmRest Holdings actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

AmRest Holdings's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real positive on this analysis, as was its EBIT growth rate. But truth be told its level of total liabilities had us nibbling our nails. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about AmRest Holdings's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for AmRest Holdings (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.