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Auxilia S.A.'s (WSE:AUX) 28% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/ERatio
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Auxilia S.A. (WSE:AUX) shares are down a considerable 28% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 30% in that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, given close to half the companies in Poland have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 12x, you may still consider Auxilia as a stock to avoid entirely with its 60x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
For instance, Auxilia's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Auxilia
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Auxilia would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 64% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 68% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 20% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that Auxilia is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Auxilia's shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
Our examination of Auxilia revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 6 warning signs for Auxilia you should be aware of, and 3 of them are a bit unpleasant.
You might be able to find a better investment than Auxilia. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:AUX
Auxilia
Provides services for the victims of accidents and their families.
Medium-low risk with excellent balance sheet.
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