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Grupa RECYKL S.A. (WSE:GRC) Stocks Shoot Up 25% But Its P/E Still Looks Reasonable
Grupa RECYKL S.A. (WSE:GRC) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 80% in the last year.
Following the firm bounce in price, given around half the companies in Poland have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 12x, you may consider Grupa RECYKL as a stock to potentially avoid with its 16.4x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
For example, consider that Grupa RECYKL's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Grupa RECYKL
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Grupa RECYKL's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Grupa RECYKL would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 14% decrease to the company's bottom line. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 100% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 10% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.
With this information, we can see why Grupa RECYKL is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the bourse.
The Bottom Line On Grupa RECYKL's P/E
The large bounce in Grupa RECYKL's shares has lifted the company's P/E to a fairly high level. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Grupa RECYKL maintains its high P/E on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident earnings aren't under threat. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Grupa RECYKL, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:GRC
Grupa RECYKL
Engages in the collection and management of packaging and post-consumer waste in Poland and internationally.
Solid track record with mediocre balance sheet.