Stock Analysis

Insufficient Growth At ASM Group S.A. (WSE:ASM) Hampers Share Price

WSE:ASM
Source: Shutterstock

With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x ASM Group S.A. (WSE:ASM) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Professional Services companies in Poland have P/S ratios greater than 2.4x and even P/S higher than 6x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for ASM Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
WSE:ASM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 30th 2023

What Does ASM Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

Revenue has risen firmly for ASM Group recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for ASM Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is ASM Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like ASM Group's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 7.9% gain to the company's revenues. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 53% overall drop in revenue. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 3.8% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we understand why ASM Group's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Bottom Line On ASM Group's P/S

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of ASM Group confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for ASM Group you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether ASM Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.