Mostostal Warszawa Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of MSW when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

MSW (PLN5.54) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (PLN125.14)

Is MSW undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MSW when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MSW (PLN5.54) is trading below our estimate of fair value (PLN125.14)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MSW is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MSW?

Key metric: As MSW is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for MSW. This is calculated by dividing MSW's market cap by their current revenue.
What is MSW's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	0.07x
Sales	zł1.55b
Market Cap	zł110.80m

MSW key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	5.8x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does MSW's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for MSW vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	0.5x
ATR Atrem	0.7x	13.2%	zł107.5m
NVA P.A. Nova	0.5x	n/a	zł149.5m
FRB Forbuild	0.6x	n/a	zł61.9m
ZUE ZUE	0.1x	n/a	zł174.4m
MSW Mostostal Warszawa	0.07x	n/a	zł110.8m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: MSW is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (0.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does MSW's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the PL Construction Industry?

1 Company	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	0.5x	10.7%
MSW Mostostal Warszawa	0.07x	n/a	US$27.02m

No more companies available in this PS range

1 Company		Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	0.5x	9.3%
MSW Mostostal Warszawa	0.07x	n/a	US$27.02m

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: MSW is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the Polish Construction industry average (0.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MSW's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MSW PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	0.07x
Fair PS Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MSW's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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