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Dekpol S.A.'s (WSE:DEK) Share Price Boosted 27% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too
Dekpol S.A. (WSE:DEK) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 26%.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, given about half the companies in Poland have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 13x, you may still consider Dekpol as a highly attractive investment with its 6x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
For instance, Dekpol's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Check out our latest analysis for Dekpol
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Dekpol would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 1.9% decrease to the company's bottom line. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 24% overall rise in EPS. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 18% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we can see why Dekpol is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
Even after such a strong price move, Dekpol's P/E still trails the rest of the market significantly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Dekpol maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Dekpol you should be aware of.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:DEK
Dekpol
Dekpol S.A. primary engages in the general contracting and property development businesses in Poland.
Excellent balance sheet with acceptable track record.
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