These days it's easy to simply buy an index fund, and your returns should (roughly) match the market. But one can do better than that by picking better than average stocks (as part of a diversified portfolio). To wit, the Budimex SA (WSE:BDX) share price is 70% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market return of around 3.5% (not including dividends) in the same period. That's a solid performance by our standards! It is also impressive that the stock is up 52% over three years, adding to the sense that it is a real winner.
Check out our latest analysis for Budimex
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
During the last year Budimex grew its earnings per share (EPS) by 63%. This EPS growth is reasonably close to the 70% increase in the share price. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. It makes intuitive sense that the share price and EPS would grow at similar rates.
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
We know that Budimex has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think Budimex will grow revenue in the future.
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Budimex, it has a TSR of 74% for the last year. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
It's nice to see that Budimex shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 74% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 17%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Budimex better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Budimex , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on PL exchanges.
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About WSE:BDX
Budimex
Operates as an infrastructure and services company in Poland, Germany, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.