Tesla Valuation

Is TSLA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TSLA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TSLA (PLN1815) is trading above our estimate of fair value (PLN290.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TSLA is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TSLA?

Key metric: As TSLA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TSLA. This is calculated by dividing TSLA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TSLA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio114.4x
EarningsUS$12.74b
Market CapUS$1.46t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TSLA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TSLA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.3x
7203 Toyota Motor
9.8x0.3%JP¥41.9t
22.1x17.9%HK$851.1b
RACE Ferrari
51.9x9.6%US$77.3b
GM General Motors
5.4x-10.6%US$59.6b
TSLA Tesla
114.4x11.8%zł1.5t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TSLA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (114.4x) compared to the peer average (22.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TSLA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TSLA 114.4xIndustry Avg. 16.4xNo. of Companies14PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TSLA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (114.4x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (15.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TSLA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TSLA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio114.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TSLA's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TSLA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentzł1,815.00
zł1,163.64
-35.9%
38.8%zł2,164.32zł491.89n/a42
Dec ’25zł1,373.00
zł957.34
-30.3%
29.8%zł1,642.36zł349.00n/a42
Nov ’25zł1,004.60
zł892.47
-11.2%
26.9%zł1,260.88zł340.24n/a43
Oct ’25zł1,019.80
zł792.92
-22.2%
29.5%zł1,180.20zł323.60n/a42
Sep ’25zł820.50
zł787.10
-4.1%
29.9%zł1,191.39zł326.67n/a43
Aug ’25zł900.00
zł811.38
-9.8%
30.0%zł1,230.61zł337.42n/a43
Jul ’25zł810.00
zł734.19
-9.4%
27.7%zł1,243.53zł340.97n/a42
Jun ’25zł708.50
zł709.91
+0.2%
28.5%zł1,214.05zł332.89n/a41
May ’25zł761.40
zł736.93
-3.2%
28.3%zł1,257.36zł344.76n/a42
Apr ’25zł722.30
zł792.61
+9.7%
29.0%zł1,272.29zł337.95n/a40
Mar ’25zł811.20
zł845.25
+4.2%
26.5%zł1,374.45zł338.63n/a39
Feb ’25zł743.00
zł862.61
+16.1%
26.9%zł1,369.75zł337.48n/a38
Jan ’25zł1,019.80
zł932.60
-8.6%
28.5%zł1,494.65zł334.33n/a36
Dec ’24n/a
zł940.20
0%
28.2%zł1,511.45zł338.09zł1,373.0036
Nov ’24n/a
zł1,006.36
0%
27.9%zł1,603.49zł358.67zł1,004.6036
Oct ’24n/a
zł1,104.13
0%
30.2%zł1,743.64zł370.52zł1,019.8036
Sep ’24n/a
zł1,001.50
0%
29.1%zł1,407.81zł341.90zł820.5036
Aug ’24n/a
zł980.99
0%
29.8%zł1,400.81zł340.20zł900.0035
Jul ’24n/a
zł847.21
0%
30.3%zł1,364.22zł346.15zł810.0035
Jun ’24n/a
zł789.86
0%
25.8%zł1,260.51zł357.14zł708.5035
May ’24n/a
zł786.55
0%
26.1%zł1,259.76zł356.93zł761.4034
Apr ’24n/a
zł885.00
0%
27.0%zł1,379.65zł366.47zł722.3033
Mar ’24n/a
zł895.43
0%
27.9%zł1,431.87zł380.34zł811.2034
Feb ’24n/a
zł827.11
0%
29.9%zł1,389.95zł369.21zł743.0033
Jan ’24n/a
zł1,097.67
0%
34.4%zł2,327.50zł375.64zł1,019.8030
Dec ’23n/a
zł1,247.70
0%
31.7%zł2,362.26zł378.85n/a32

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/27 07:15
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Tesla, Inc. is covered by 95 analysts. 48 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
Theodore O'NeillAscendiant Capital Markets LLC
Benjamin KalloBaird