Tesla Valuation

Is TSLA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TSLA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TSLA (PLN690) is trading above our estimate of fair value (PLN286.59)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TSLA is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TSLA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

TSLA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue5.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA44.1x
PEG Ratio3.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TSLA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TSLA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.3x
7203 Toyota Motor
9.3x-1.4%JP¥47.5t
STLAM Stellantis
4.2x-5.1%€77.9b
19.7x14.5%HK$693.8b
RACE Ferrari
52x8.0%US$73.1b
TSLA Tesla
40.8x12.2%zł557.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TSLA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.8x) compared to the peer average (21.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TSLA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a3.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a3.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TSLA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.8x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (15.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TSLA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TSLA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio40.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TSLA's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TSLA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentzł690.00
zł727.57
+5.4%
28.4%zł1,241.09zł340.30n/a41
May ’25zł761.40
zł737.60
-3.1%
28.1%zł1,257.36zł344.76n/a42
Apr ’25zł722.30
zł796.46
+10.3%
28.9%zł1,278.30zł339.55n/a40
Mar ’25zł811.20
zł845.25
+4.2%
26.5%zł1,374.45zł338.63n/a39
Feb ’25zł743.00
zł862.61
+16.1%
26.9%zł1,369.75zł337.48n/a38
Jan ’25zł1,019.80
zł932.60
-8.6%
28.5%zł1,494.65zł334.33n/a36
Dec ’24n/a
zł940.20
0%
28.2%zł1,511.45zł338.09n/a36
Nov ’24n/a
zł1,006.36
0%
27.9%zł1,603.49zł358.67n/a36
Oct ’24n/a
zł1,104.13
0%
30.2%zł1,743.64zł370.52n/a36
Sep ’24n/a
zł1,001.50
0%
29.1%zł1,407.81zł341.90n/a36
Aug ’24n/a
zł980.99
0%
29.8%zł1,400.81zł340.20n/a35
Jul ’24n/a
zł847.21
0%
30.3%zł1,364.22zł346.15n/a35
Jun ’24n/a
zł789.86
0%
25.8%zł1,260.51zł357.14n/a35
May ’24n/a
zł786.55
0%
26.1%zł1,259.76zł356.93zł761.4034
Apr ’24n/a
zł885.00
0%
27.0%zł1,379.65zł366.47zł722.3033
Mar ’24n/a
zł895.43
0%
27.9%zł1,431.87zł380.34zł811.2034
Feb ’24n/a
zł827.11
0%
29.9%zł1,389.95zł369.21zł743.0033
Jan ’24n/a
zł1,097.67
0%
34.4%zł2,327.50zł375.64zł1,019.8030
Dec ’23n/a
zł1,247.70
0%
31.7%zł2,362.26zł378.85n/a32
Nov ’23n/a
zł1,325.33
0%
31.8%zł2,494.39zł400.04n/a32
Oct ’23n/a
zł1,523.46
0%
31.2%zł2,618.78zł411.76n/a34
Sep ’23n/a
zł1,452.24
0%
31.6%zł2,513.90zł395.27n/a33
Aug ’23n/a
zł1,417.17
0%
32.1%zł2,459.74zł389.20n/a33
Jul ’23n/a
zł1,367.38
0%
35.3%zł2,409.91zł371.90n/a34
Jun ’23n/a
zł1,340.58
0%
36.9%zł2,305.69zł355.82n/a35
May ’23n/a
zł1,440.05
0%
36.9%zł2,328.32zł359.31n/a34

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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