Tesla Valuation

Is TSLA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TSLA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TSLA (PLN1450) is trading above our estimate of fair value (PLN361.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TSLA is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TSLA?

Key metric: As TSLA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TSLA. This is calculated by dividing TSLA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TSLA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio88.8x
EarningsUS$12.74b
Market CapUS$1.13t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TSLA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TSLA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.8x
7203 Toyota Motor
8.2x-0.1%JP¥35.0t
20.6x17.6%HK$824.8b
RACE Ferrari
52.6x9.4%US$78.4b
GM General Motors
5.9x-10.2%US$64.4b
TSLA Tesla
88.8x13.0%zł1.1t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TSLA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (88.8x) compared to the peer average (21.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TSLA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TSLA 88.8xIndustry Avg. 15.7xNo. of Companies15PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TSLA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (88.8x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (15.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TSLA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TSLA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio88.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TSLA's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TSLA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentzł1,450.00
zł967.80
-33.3%
30.0%zł1,665.24zł353.86n/a42
Nov ’25zł1,004.60
zł892.47
-11.2%
26.9%zł1,260.88zł340.24n/a43
Oct ’25zł1,019.80
zł792.92
-22.2%
29.5%zł1,180.20zł323.60n/a42
Sep ’25zł820.50
zł787.10
-4.1%
29.9%zł1,191.39zł326.67n/a43
Aug ’25zł900.00
zł811.38
-9.8%
30.0%zł1,230.61zł337.42n/a43
Jul ’25zł810.00
zł734.19
-9.4%
27.7%zł1,243.53zł340.97n/a42
Jun ’25zł708.50
zł709.91
+0.2%
28.5%zł1,214.05zł332.89n/a41
May ’25zł761.40
zł736.93
-3.2%
28.3%zł1,257.36zł344.76n/a42
Apr ’25zł722.30
zł792.61
+9.7%
29.0%zł1,272.29zł337.95n/a40
Mar ’25zł811.20
zł845.25
+4.2%
26.5%zł1,374.45zł338.63n/a39
Feb ’25zł743.00
zł862.61
+16.1%
26.9%zł1,369.75zł337.48n/a38
Jan ’25zł1,019.80
zł932.60
-8.6%
28.5%zł1,494.65zł334.33n/a36
Dec ’24n/a
zł940.20
0%
28.2%zł1,511.45zł338.09n/a36
Nov ’24n/a
zł1,006.36
0%
27.9%zł1,603.49zł358.67zł1,004.6036
Oct ’24n/a
zł1,104.13
0%
30.2%zł1,743.64zł370.52zł1,019.8036
Sep ’24n/a
zł1,001.50
0%
29.1%zł1,407.81zł341.90zł820.5036
Aug ’24n/a
zł980.99
0%
29.8%zł1,400.81zł340.20zł900.0035
Jul ’24n/a
zł847.21
0%
30.3%zł1,364.22zł346.15zł810.0035
Jun ’24n/a
zł789.86
0%
25.8%zł1,260.51zł357.14zł708.5035
May ’24n/a
zł786.55
0%
26.1%zł1,259.76zł356.93zł761.4034
Apr ’24n/a
zł885.00
0%
27.0%zł1,379.65zł366.47zł722.3033
Mar ’24n/a
zł895.43
0%
27.9%zł1,431.87zł380.34zł811.2034
Feb ’24n/a
zł827.11
0%
29.9%zł1,389.95zł369.21zł743.0033
Jan ’24n/a
zł1,097.67
0%
34.4%zł2,327.50zł375.64zł1,019.8030
Dec ’23n/a
zł1,247.70
0%
31.7%zł2,362.26zł378.85n/a32
Nov ’23n/a
zł1,325.33
0%
31.8%zł2,494.39zł400.04n/a32

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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