Fauji Fertilizer Company Limited

KASE:FFC Stock Report

Market Cap: PK₨414.5b

Fauji Fertilizer Valuation

Is FFC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FFC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FFC (PKR325.8) is trading above our estimate of fair value (PKR254.38)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FFC is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FFC?

Key metric: As FFC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FFC. This is calculated by dividing FFC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FFC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.9x
EarningsPK₨70.46b
Market CapPK₨414.50b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FFC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FFC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.8x
EFERT Engro Fertilizers
9.6x15.9%PK₨278.7b
ENGRO Engro
5.9xn/aPK₨178.8b
FATIMA Fatima Fertilizer
4.5x7.9%PK₨147.5b
FFBL Fauji Fertilizer Bin Qasim
3.4x-52.7%PK₨97.5b
FFC Fauji Fertilizer
5.9xn/aPK₨414.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FFC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.9x) compared to the peer average (5.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FFC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the PK Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
FFC 5.9xIndustry Avg. 9.1xNo. of Companies5PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FFC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.9x) compared to the PK Chemicals industry average (9.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FFC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FFC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate FFC's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FFC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentPK₨325.80
PK₨226.50
-30.5%
20.3%PK₨295.00PK₨185.00n/a6
Nov ’25PK₨283.76
PK₨226.50
-20.2%
20.3%PK₨295.00PK₨185.00n/a6
Oct ’25PK₨222.31
PK₨189.60
-14.7%
7.8%PK₨215.00PK₨169.00n/a5
Sep ’25PK₨181.91
PK₨173.34
-4.7%
12.2%PK₨190.00PK₨133.70n/a5
Aug ’25PK₨187.33
PK₨165.66
-11.6%
12.0%PK₨190.00PK₨133.70n/a6
Jul ’25PK₨163.66
PK₨154.85
-5.4%
7.0%PK₨169.00PK₨133.70n/a7
Jun ’25PK₨141.79
PK₨154.85
+9.2%
7.0%PK₨169.00PK₨133.70n/a7
May ’25PK₨145.64
PK₨154.85
+6.3%
7.0%PK₨169.00PK₨133.70n/a7
Apr ’25PK₨125.68
PK₨153.85
+22.4%
6.4%PK₨165.00PK₨133.70n/a7
Mar ’25PK₨120.14
PK₨153.85
+28.1%
6.4%PK₨165.00PK₨133.70n/a7
Feb ’25PK₨113.94
PK₨153.85
+35.0%
6.4%PK₨165.00PK₨133.70n/a7
Jan ’25PK₨115.98
PK₨141.54
+22.0%
11.7%PK₨174.00PK₨120.00n/a6
Dec ’24PK₨112.88
PK₨140.45
+24.4%
12.8%PK₨174.00PK₨120.00n/a5
Nov ’24PK₨102.98
PK₨136.71
+32.8%
12.9%PK₨174.00PK₨114.75PK₨283.767
Oct ’24PK₨92.84
PK₨128.83
+38.8%
6.3%PK₨140.00PK₨114.75PK₨222.318
Sep ’24PK₨94.99
PK₨128.83
+35.6%
6.3%PK₨140.00PK₨114.75PK₨181.918
Aug ’24PK₨100.99
PK₨128.30
+27.0%
7.3%PK₨140.00PK₨110.00PK₨187.3311
Jul ’24PK₨98.44
PK₨129.44
+31.5%
7.5%PK₨144.00PK₨110.00PK₨163.6612
Jun ’24PK₨101.06
PK₨129.44
+28.1%
7.5%PK₨144.00PK₨110.00PK₨141.7912
May ’24PK₨102.87
PK₨129.44
+25.8%
7.5%PK₨144.00PK₨110.00PK₨145.6412
Apr ’24PK₨99.97
PK₨128.85
+28.9%
10.5%PK₨158.00PK₨110.00PK₨125.6812
Mar ’24PK₨102.00
PK₨129.94
+27.4%
10.5%PK₨158.00PK₨110.00PK₨120.1412
Feb ’24PK₨103.04
PK₨129.77
+25.9%
10.5%PK₨158.00PK₨110.00PK₨113.9412
Jan ’24PK₨98.71
PK₨133.75
+35.5%
7.6%PK₨158.00PK₨120.00PK₨115.9811
Dec ’23PK₨102.64
PK₨136.47
+33.0%
7.0%PK₨158.00PK₨124.30PK₨112.889
Nov ’23PK₨103.30
PK₨134.33
+30.0%
8.3%PK₨158.00PK₨115.00PK₨102.9810

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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