Fatima Fertilizer Company Limited

KASE:FATIMA Stock Report

Market Cap: PK₨160.4b

Fatima Fertilizer Valuation

Is FATIMA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FATIMA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FATIMA (PKR75.88) is trading above our estimate of fair value (PKR6.83)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FATIMA is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FATIMA?

Key metric: As FATIMA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FATIMA. This is calculated by dividing FATIMA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FATIMA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio4.9x
EarningsPK₨32.79b
Market CapPK₨160.44b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FATIMA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FATIMA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6x
ENGRO Engro
7.2xn/aPK₨200.3b
FFBL Fauji Fertilizer Bin Qasim
3.7x-52.7%PK₨105.7b
EFERT Engro Fertilizers
9.6x15.9%PK₨280.8b
DAWH Dawood Hercules
3.5xn/aPK₨88.7b
FATIMA Fatima Fertilizer
4.9x7.9%PK₨160.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FATIMA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.9x) compared to the peer average (6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FATIMA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the PK Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
FATIMA 4.9xIndustry Avg. 9.6xNo. of Companies5PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FATIMA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.9x) compared to the PK Chemicals industry average (9.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FATIMA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FATIMA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.9x
Fair PE Ratio6.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FATIMA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FATIMA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentPK₨75.88
PK₨70.50
-7.1%
13.5%PK₨80.00PK₨61.00n/a2
Nov ’25PK₨63.99
PK₨70.50
+10.2%
13.5%PK₨80.00PK₨61.00n/a2
Oct ’25PK₨61.11
PK₨70.50
+15.4%
13.5%PK₨80.00PK₨61.00n/a2
Sep ’25PK₨53.99
PK₨65.50
+21.3%
6.9%PK₨70.00PK₨61.00n/a2
Aug ’25PK₨52.91
PK₨65.50
+23.8%
6.9%PK₨70.00PK₨61.00n/a2
Jul ’25PK₨51.69
PK₨53.67
+3.8%
23.1%PK₨70.00PK₨40.00n/a3
Jun ’25PK₨48.99
PK₨53.67
+9.5%
23.1%PK₨70.00PK₨40.00n/a3
May ’25PK₨52.88
PK₨53.67
+1.5%
23.1%PK₨70.00PK₨40.00n/a3
Apr ’25PK₨40.00
PK₨41.67
+4.2%
9.3%PK₨47.00PK₨38.00n/a3
Mar ’25PK₨37.01
PK₨45.50
+22.9%
8.8%PK₨49.50PK₨40.00n/a3
Feb ’25PK₨33.43
PK₨45.50
+36.1%
8.8%PK₨49.50PK₨40.00n/a3
Jan ’25PK₨37.01
PK₨40.33
+9.0%
11.1%PK₨46.00PK₨35.00n/a3
Dec ’24PK₨33.90
PK₨38.33
+13.1%
6.1%PK₨40.00PK₨35.00PK₨71.593
Nov ’24PK₨30.93
PK₨38.33
+23.9%
6.1%PK₨40.00PK₨35.00PK₨63.993
Oct ’24PK₨28.90
PK₨38.57
+33.5%
5.9%PK₨41.00PK₨35.00PK₨61.114
Sep ’24PK₨27.78
PK₨39.45
+42.0%
6.8%PK₨43.00PK₨35.00PK₨53.995
Aug ’24PK₨27.77
PK₨39.45
+42.1%
6.8%PK₨43.00PK₨35.00PK₨52.915
Jul ’24PK₨29.81
PK₨39.45
+32.4%
6.8%PK₨43.00PK₨35.00PK₨51.695
Jun ’24PK₨27.89
PK₨40.05
+43.6%
4.6%PK₨43.00PK₨38.00PK₨48.995
May ’24PK₨28.50
PK₨40.05
+40.5%
4.6%PK₨43.00PK₨38.00PK₨52.885
Apr ’24PK₨30.00
PK₨40.88
+36.3%
7.0%PK₨46.00PK₨38.00PK₨40.006
Mar ’24PK₨29.57
PK₨40.88
+38.2%
7.0%PK₨46.00PK₨38.00PK₨37.016
Feb ’24PK₨30.99
PK₨41.40
+33.6%
6.9%PK₨46.00PK₨38.00PK₨33.435
Jan ’24PK₨33.60
PK₨42.75
+27.2%
6.7%PK₨46.00PK₨39.00PK₨37.014
Dec ’23PK₨35.92
PK₨42.75
+19.0%
6.7%PK₨46.00PK₨39.00PK₨33.904

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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