Fatima Fertilizer Company Limited

KASE:FATIMA Stock Report

Market Cap: PK₨81.6b

Fatima Fertilizer Valuation

Is FATIMA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FATIMA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FATIMA (PKR38.88) is trading below our estimate of fair value (PKR73.62)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FATIMA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FATIMA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

FATIMA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA1.8x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FATIMA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FATIMA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.7x
DAWH Dawood Hercules
6.4xn/aPK₨68.3b
FFBL Fauji Fertilizer Bin Qasim
7.4x28.5%PK₨34.4b
FFC Fauji Fertilizer
3.7x-7.7%PK₨163.7b
ENGRO Engro
5.4xn/aPK₨186.5b
FATIMA Fatima Fertilizer
5xn/aPK₨81.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FATIMA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5x) compared to the peer average (5.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FATIMA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the PK Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a32.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a32.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FATIMA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5x) compared to the PK Chemicals industry average (5.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FATIMA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FATIMA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate FATIMA's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FATIMA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentPK₨38.88
PK₨42.50
+9.3%
11.8%PK₨49.50PK₨38.00n/a3
Mar ’25PK₨37.01
PK₨45.50
+22.9%
8.8%PK₨49.50PK₨40.00n/a3
Feb ’25PK₨33.43
PK₨45.50
+36.1%
8.8%PK₨49.50PK₨40.00n/a3
Jan ’25PK₨37.01
PK₨40.33
+9.0%
11.1%PK₨46.00PK₨35.00n/a3
Dec ’24PK₨33.90
PK₨38.33
+13.1%
6.1%PK₨40.00PK₨35.00n/a3
Nov ’24PK₨30.93
PK₨38.33
+23.9%
6.1%PK₨40.00PK₨35.00n/a3
Oct ’24PK₨28.90
PK₨38.57
+33.5%
5.9%PK₨41.00PK₨35.00n/a4
Sep ’24PK₨27.78
PK₨39.45
+42.0%
6.8%PK₨43.00PK₨35.00n/a5
Aug ’24PK₨27.77
PK₨39.45
+42.1%
6.8%PK₨43.00PK₨35.00n/a5
Jul ’24PK₨29.81
PK₨39.45
+32.4%
6.8%PK₨43.00PK₨35.00n/a5
Jun ’24PK₨27.89
PK₨40.05
+43.6%
4.6%PK₨43.00PK₨38.00n/a5
May ’24PK₨28.50
PK₨40.05
+40.5%
4.6%PK₨43.00PK₨38.00n/a5
Apr ’24PK₨30.00
PK₨40.88
+36.3%
7.0%PK₨46.00PK₨38.00n/a6
Mar ’24PK₨29.57
PK₨40.88
+38.2%
7.0%PK₨46.00PK₨38.00PK₨37.016
Feb ’24PK₨30.99
PK₨41.40
+33.6%
6.9%PK₨46.00PK₨38.00PK₨33.435
Jan ’24PK₨33.60
PK₨42.75
+27.2%
6.7%PK₨46.00PK₨39.00PK₨37.014
Dec ’23PK₨35.92
PK₨42.75
+19.0%
6.7%PK₨46.00PK₨39.00PK₨33.904
Nov ’23PK₨36.00
PK₨40.75
+13.2%
12.8%PK₨46.00PK₨33.00PK₨30.934
Oct ’23PK₨38.33
PK₨41.00
+7.0%
13.2%PK₨46.00PK₨33.00PK₨28.904
Sep ’23PK₨36.64
PK₨41.15
+12.3%
10.8%PK₨46.00PK₨33.00PK₨27.786
Aug ’23PK₨35.00
PK₨40.18
+14.8%
10.6%PK₨44.90PK₨33.00PK₨27.775
Jul ’23PK₨37.51
PK₨40.18
+7.1%
10.6%PK₨44.90PK₨33.00PK₨29.815
Jun ’23PK₨36.65
PK₨40.18
+9.6%
10.6%PK₨44.90PK₨33.00PK₨27.895
May ’23PK₨39.17
PK₨39.18
+0.03%
9.7%PK₨44.90PK₨33.00PK₨28.505
Apr ’23PK₨41.69
PK₨39.18
-6.0%
9.7%PK₨44.90PK₨33.00PK₨30.005
Mar ’23PK₨37.00
PK₨39.23
+6.0%
10.8%PK₨44.90PK₨33.00PK₨29.574

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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