Fauji Fertilizer Bin Qasim Limited

KASE:FFBL Stock Report

Market Cap: PK₨114.8b

Fauji Fertilizer Bin Qasim Valuation

Is FFBL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FFBL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FFBL (PKR88.94) is trading above our estimate of fair value (PKR38.49)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FFBL is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FFBL?

Key metric: As FFBL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FFBL. This is calculated by dividing FFBL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FFBL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio4.1x
EarningsPK₨28.31b
Market CapPK₨114.84b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FFBL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FFBL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.8x
DAWH Dawood Hercules
4.5xn/aPK₨111.6b
FATIMA Fatima Fertilizer
5.1x13.9%PK₨160.6b
ENGRO Engro
8xn/aPK₨228.4b
EFERT Engro Fertilizers
9.4x15.9%PK₨267.5b
FFBL Fauji Fertilizer Bin Qasim
4.1x-52.7%PK₨114.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FFBL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.1x) compared to the peer average (6.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FFBL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the PK Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
FFBL 4.1xIndustry Avg. 9.2xNo. of Companies6PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FFBL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.1x) compared to the PK Chemicals industry average (9.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FFBL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FFBL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.1x
Fair PE Ratio2.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FFBL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FFBL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
PK₨55.84
0%
9.4%PK₨63.36PK₨50.00n/a4
Dec ’25PK₨76.21
PK₨51.31
-32.7%
19.9%PK₨63.36PK₨33.20n/a5
Nov ’25PK₨66.26
PK₨49.43
-25.4%
20.7%PK₨63.36PK₨33.20n/a6
Oct ’25PK₨49.94
PK₨47.43
-5.0%
20.0%PK₨63.36PK₨33.20n/a6
Sep ’25PK₨46.17
PK₨47.43
+2.7%
20.0%PK₨63.36PK₨33.20n/a6
Aug ’25PK₨42.75
PK₨47.43
+10.9%
20.0%PK₨63.36PK₨33.20n/a6
Jul ’25PK₨36.63
PK₨38.18
+4.2%
13.8%PK₨45.00PK₨29.89n/a6
Jun ’25PK₨33.39
PK₨38.18
+14.4%
13.8%PK₨45.00PK₨29.89n/a6
May ’25PK₨36.14
PK₨38.35
+6.1%
14.3%PK₨46.00PK₨29.89n/a6
Apr ’25PK₨27.11
PK₨38.18
+40.8%
13.0%PK₨44.00PK₨29.89n/a6
Mar ’25PK₨26.37
PK₨38.18
+44.8%
13.0%PK₨44.00PK₨29.89n/a6
Feb ’25PK₨26.93
PK₨38.18
+41.8%
13.0%PK₨44.00PK₨29.89n/a6
Jan ’25PK₨32.07
PK₨26.79
-16.5%
37.6%PK₨42.00PK₨15.16n/a4
Dec ’24PK₨24.56
PK₨20.83
-15.2%
22.2%PK₨29.00PK₨15.16PK₨76.215
Nov ’24PK₨18.85
PK₨20.83
+10.5%
22.2%PK₨29.00PK₨15.16PK₨66.265
Oct ’24PK₨13.74
PK₨19.94
+45.1%
17.9%PK₨26.60PK₨16.10PK₨49.945
Sep ’24PK₨13.01
PK₨19.94
+53.3%
17.9%PK₨26.60PK₨16.10PK₨46.175
Aug ’24PK₨13.94
PK₨18.10
+29.9%
7.1%PK₨20.00PK₨16.10PK₨42.756
Jul ’24PK₨11.78
PK₨19.27
+63.6%
10.2%PK₨22.00PK₨16.10PK₨36.636
Jun ’24PK₨11.20
PK₨23.52
+110.0%
44.9%PK₨49.00PK₨16.10PK₨33.397
May ’24PK₨12.45
PK₨24.52
+96.9%
42.1%PK₨49.00PK₨16.10PK₨36.147
Apr ’24PK₨12.47
PK₨26.20
+110.1%
39.9%PK₨49.00PK₨16.10PK₨27.118
Mar ’24PK₨12.19
PK₨26.45
+117.0%
37.4%PK₨49.00PK₨16.10PK₨26.379
Feb ’24PK₨13.40
PK₨27.89
+108.2%
34.9%PK₨49.00PK₨16.10PK₨26.9311
Jan ’24PK₨15.33
PK₨34.12
+122.6%
21.0%PK₨49.00PK₨27.00PK₨32.078
Dec ’23PK₨16.74
PK₨33.78
+101.8%
20.3%PK₨49.00PK₨27.00PK₨24.569

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/30 16:28
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Fauji Fertilizer Bin Qasim Limited is covered by 26 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ali PoonawalaAKD Research
null nullAkseer Research (Pvt.) Limited
Saman SarfarazAkseer Research (Pvt.) Limited