Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited

KASE:EPCL Stock Report

Market Cap: PK₨34.1b

Engro Polymer and Chemicals Valuation

Is EPCL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EPCL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EPCL (PKR37.49) is trading above our estimate of fair value (PKR12.48)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EPCL is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EPCL?

Key metric: As EPCL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EPCL. This is calculated by dividing EPCL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EPCL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio55.6x
EarningsPK₨612.33m
Market CapPK₨34.08b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EPCL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EPCL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.1x
LOTCHEM Lotte Chemical Pakistan
10.3xn/aPK₨29.8b
NICL Nimir Industrial Chemicals
15.1xn/aPK₨15.1b
BIFO Biafo Industries
73xn/aPK₨9.2b
ICL Ittehad Chemicals
5.9xn/aPK₨6.8b
EPCL Engro Polymer and Chemicals
55.6x147.3%PK₨34.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EPCL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (55.6x) compared to the peer average (26.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EPCL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the PK Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
EPCL 55.6xIndustry Avg. 8.9xNo. of Companies5PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EPCL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (55.6x) compared to the PK Chemicals industry average (8.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EPCL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EPCL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio55.6x
Fair PE Ratio68.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EPCL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (55.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (68.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EPCL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentPK₨37.49
PK₨41.64
+11.1%
10.6%PK₨45.10PK₨33.00n/a5
Dec ’25PK₨36.50
PK₨41.64
+14.1%
10.6%PK₨45.10PK₨33.00n/a5
Nov ’25PK₨31.75
PK₨41.64
+31.1%
10.6%PK₨45.10PK₨33.00n/a5
Oct ’25PK₨31.95
PK₨44.78
+40.1%
5.7%PK₨49.00PK₨42.10n/a4
Sep ’25PK₨37.09
PK₨47.18
+27.2%
11.3%PK₨56.80PK₨42.10n/a5
Aug ’25PK₨42.00
PK₨51.58
+22.8%
12.2%PK₨60.00PK₨42.10n/a5
Jul ’25PK₨43.80
PK₨50.15
+14.5%
14.4%PK₨60.00PK₨40.00n/a6
Jun ’25PK₨44.50
PK₨50.15
+12.7%
14.4%PK₨60.00PK₨40.00n/a6
May ’25PK₨42.60
PK₨50.15
+17.7%
14.4%PK₨60.00PK₨40.00n/a6
Apr ’25PK₨45.14
PK₨51.15
+13.3%
14.6%PK₨60.00PK₨40.00n/a6
Mar ’25PK₨44.30
PK₨51.15
+15.5%
14.6%PK₨60.00PK₨40.00n/a6
Feb ’25PK₨47.44
PK₨48.23
+1.7%
10.6%PK₨53.00PK₨40.00n/a4
Jan ’25PK₨48.08
PK₨46.63
-3.0%
10.6%PK₨51.90PK₨40.00n/a3
Dec ’24PK₨45.01
PK₨46.63
+3.6%
10.6%PK₨51.90PK₨40.00PK₨36.503
Nov ’24PK₨39.54
PK₨47.73
+20.7%
9.8%PK₨51.90PK₨40.00PK₨31.754
Oct ’24PK₨39.31
PK₨48.23
+22.7%
9.9%PK₨51.90PK₨40.00PK₨31.954
Sep ’24PK₨40.18
PK₨48.23
+20.0%
9.9%PK₨51.90PK₨40.00PK₨37.094
Aug ’24PK₨45.14
PK₨47.48
+5.2%
9.9%PK₨51.90PK₨40.00PK₨42.004
Jul ’24PK₨42.25
PK₨47.30
+12.0%
9.6%PK₨53.00PK₨40.00PK₨43.805
Jun ’24PK₨42.35
PK₨47.30
+11.7%
9.6%PK₨53.00PK₨40.00PK₨44.505
May ’24PK₨45.77
PK₨49.08
+7.2%
11.7%PK₨58.00PK₨40.00PK₨42.606
Apr ’24PK₨46.78
PK₨51.70
+10.5%
8.2%PK₨58.00PK₨45.50PK₨45.145
Mar ’24PK₨44.33
PK₨57.06
+28.7%
14.2%PK₨70.00PK₨45.50PK₨44.308
Feb ’24PK₨46.36
PK₨58.06
+25.2%
13.9%PK₨70.00PK₨45.50PK₨47.448
Jan ’24PK₨42.32
PK₨64.34
+52.0%
10.5%PK₨77.00PK₨55.00PK₨48.088
Dec ’23PK₨50.96
PK₨64.34
+26.3%
10.5%PK₨77.00PK₨55.00PK₨45.018

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/21 06:31
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited is covered by 19 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullAKD Research
Ailia NaeemAKD Research
null nullAkseer Research (Pvt.) Limited