Pakistan Petroleum Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Pakistan Petroleum's revenue and earnings are forecast to decline at 4% and 16% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to decline by 16.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.7% in 3 years.

Key information

-16.0%

Earnings growth rate

-16.5%

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas earnings growth	-4.9%
Revenue growth rate	-4.0%
Future return on equity	9.7%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	29 Oct 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

KASE:PPL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (PKR Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	245,931	67,286	28,765	90,404	1
6/30/2026	258,630	74,842	29,270	87,158	1
6/30/2025	254,989	77,128	4,043	68,340	1
9/30/2024	280,016	108,413	78,489	105,247	N/A
6/30/2024	291,241	115,477	54,935	81,785	N/A
3/31/2024	299,460	113,500	34,421	57,225	N/A
12/31/2023	300,873	118,512	14,522	36,084	N/A
9/30/2023	293,244	100,653	-4,252	15,329	N/A
6/30/2023	288,053	97,222	-6,239	11,904	N/A
3/31/2023	277,418	84,174	4,431	26,907	N/A
12/31/2022	251,589	71,712	12,837	34,259	N/A
9/30/2022	233,035	63,823	14,543	36,935	N/A
6/30/2022	203,811	54,353	18,795	41,762	N/A
3/31/2022	178,070	65,690	25,586	40,774	N/A
12/31/2021	163,886	57,317	24,993	41,454	N/A
9/30/2021	153,557	54,818	39,240	54,768	N/A
6/30/2021	149,279	52,283	39,250	53,442	N/A
3/31/2021	144,176	48,948	22,417	42,240	N/A
12/31/2020	148,181	51,085	30,236	52,355	N/A
9/30/2020	155,440	49,402	13,626	43,055	N/A
6/30/2020	157,999	49,425	-2,815	30,236	N/A
3/31/2020	171,347	54,028	-2,163	38,199	N/A
12/31/2019	170,940	53,636	-6,791	36,898	N/A
9/30/2019	167,910	59,998	-8,736	33,073	N/A
6/30/2019	164,366	59,459	-3,036	42,004	N/A
3/31/2019	154,050	56,422	-9,568	33,355	N/A
12/31/2018	144,497	53,733	-17,688	23,701	N/A
9/30/2018	132,637	46,494	-4,084	34,980	N/A
6/30/2018	126,621	45,826	N/A	39,866	N/A
3/31/2018	145,246	50,009	N/A	41,043	N/A
12/31/2017	138,354	46,048	N/A	52,621	N/A
9/30/2017	130,818	42,433	N/A	46,685	N/A
6/30/2017	117,429	34,699	N/A	42,370	N/A
3/31/2017	85,067	18,335	N/A	49,269	N/A
12/31/2016	79,398	15,011	N/A	45,582	N/A
9/30/2016	78,945	15,718	N/A	47,646	N/A
6/30/2016	80,809	16,065	N/A	52,519	N/A
3/31/2016	84,538	23,603	N/A	36,459	N/A
12/31/2015	89,189	27,626	N/A	35,413	N/A
9/30/2015	95,461	30,284	N/A	31,847	N/A
6/30/2015	105,941	38,207	N/A	37,371	N/A
3/31/2015	112,723	44,119	N/A	47,891	N/A
12/31/2014	120,448	46,887	N/A	43,890	N/A
9/30/2014	124,416	52,022	N/A	54,681	N/A
6/30/2014	121,339	50,857	N/A	34,026	N/A
3/31/2014	115,634	45,659	N/A	52,529	N/A
12/31/2013	111,435	46,350	N/A	64,161	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: PPL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-16% per year).

Earnings vs Market: PPL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-16% per year).

High Growth Earnings: PPL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: PPL's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: PPL's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-4% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: PPL's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.7%).

Pakistan Petroleum Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target increased by 7.4% to PK₨157

Price target increased by 9.1% to PK₨147

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 26%

Price target decreased to PK₨127

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 14%

Recent updates

First quarter 2025 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Pakistan Petroleum Limited Announces Demise of Khurshid Bhaimia, Board Member

Pakistan Petroleum Limited Announces Final Dividend

Upcoming dividend of PK₨2.50 per share

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 19%

Pakistan Petroleum Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 25, 2024

Pakistan Petroleum Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 25, 2024

Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Dividend of PK₨2.50 announced

Price target increased by 7.4% to PK₨157

Now 13% overvalued after recent price rise

Now 21% overvalued after recent price rise

Now 20% overvalued after recent price rise

Upcoming dividend of PK₨1.00 per share

Now 21% overvalued

First half dividend of PK₨2.50 announced

Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: PK₨14.71 (vs PK₨8.15 in 2Q 2023)

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

New minor risk - Share price stability

Now 21% overvalued after recent price rise

Price target increased by 9.1% to PK₨147

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 26%

Upcoming dividend of PK₨1.50 per share at 3.4% yield

Full year 2023 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Pakistan Petroleum Limited(KASE:PPL) dropped from FTSE All-World Index (USD)

Pakistan Petroleum Limited Announces Resignation of Abdul Aziz Uqaili as Director

New major risk - Earnings quality

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Upcoming dividend of PK₨1.00 per share at 3.0% yield

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: PK₨8.15 (vs PK₨5.25 in 2Q 2022)

Now 20% undervalued

Price target decreased to PK₨127

Pakistan Petroleum Limited Announces Board Changes

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Pakistan Petroleum Limited Informs That Muhammad Anwar-Ul-Haq Resigns as Director

Pakistan Petroleum Limited Appoints Muhammad Anwar-Ul-Haq as Director

High number of new directors

Consensus forecasts updated

Pakistan Petroleum Limited Announces Director Changes

Upcoming dividend of PK₨0.50 per share

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 14%

Full year 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Pakistan Petroleum Limited Appoints Moin Raza Khan as Director

Pakistan Petroleum Limited Announces Resignation of Muhammad Zubair as Director

High number of new and inexperienced directors

Upcoming dividend of PK₨1.50 per share

First quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS PK₨6.20 (vs PK₨5.27 in 1Q 2021)

Upcoming dividend of PK₨2.00 per share

Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS PK₨19.21 (vs PK₨18.16 in FY 2020)

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS PK₨4.42 (vs PK₨5.20 in 3Q 2020)

Consensus forecasts updated

Company Secretary has left the company

Upcoming dividend of PK₨1.50 per share

New 90-day low: PK₨87.70

Revenue beats expectations

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS PK₨4.33 (vs PK₨3.71 in 2Q 2020)

New 90-day high: PK₨97.07

New 90-day low: PK₨82.85

First quarter earnings released

First-quarter earnings released: Revenue and earnings beat expectations

Upcoming Dividend of PK₨1.00 Per Share

Full year earnings released - EPS PK₨18.16

Full year earnings released - EPS PK₨18.16

New 90-day high - PK₨104

New 90-day high - PK₨97.65

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts