Jollibee Foods Corporation

PSE:JFC Stock Report

Market Cap: ₱302.1b

Jollibee Foods Valuation

Is JFC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of JFC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: JFC (₱269) is trading below our estimate of fair value (₱315.68)

Significantly Below Fair Value: JFC is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for JFC?

Key metric: As JFC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for JFC. This is calculated by dividing JFC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is JFC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio30.3x
Earnings₱9.96b
Market Cap₱302.08b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does JFC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for JFC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.4x
PIZZA Shakey's Pizza Asia Ventures
13.4x18.4%₱13.5b
FCG Figaro Coffee Group
7.3xn/a₱4.7b
MAXS Max's Group
5.8x31.3%₱2.1b
BLOOM Bloomberry Resorts
11x37.1%₱52.5b
JFC Jollibee Foods
30.3x19.6%₱302.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: JFC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.3x) compared to the peer average (9.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does JFC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Hospitality Industry?

21 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
JFC 30.3xIndustry Avg. 21.7xNo. of Companies65PE01632486480+
21 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: JFC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.3x) compared to the Asian Hospitality industry average (21.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is JFC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

JFC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio30.3x
Fair PE Ratio16x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: JFC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst JFC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current₱269.00
₱323.91
+20.4%
5.1%₱352.00₱296.00n/a11
Dec ’25₱258.00
₱322.09
+24.8%
5.7%₱352.00₱296.00n/a11
Nov ’25₱265.20
₱315.92
+19.1%
6.3%₱352.00₱296.00n/a11
Oct ’25₱268.60
₱305.28
+13.7%
9.3%₱352.00₱233.00n/a11
Sep ’25₱259.80
₱303.93
+17.0%
9.4%₱352.00₱233.00n/a12
Aug ’25₱232.80
₱300.01
+28.9%
8.2%₱327.00₱233.00n/a12
Jul ’25₱225.20
₱298.59
+32.6%
7.9%₱320.00₱233.00n/a12
Jun ’25₱216.40
₱299.09
+38.2%
8.0%₱325.00₱233.00n/a12
May ’25₱235.40
₱301.76
+28.2%
8.1%₱330.00₱230.00n/a12
Apr ’25₱248.60
₱301.76
+21.4%
8.1%₱330.00₱230.00n/a12
Mar ’25₱271.60
₱295.63
+8.8%
8.4%₱330.00₱230.00n/a12
Feb ’25₱254.00
₱295.63
+16.4%
8.4%₱330.00₱230.00n/a12
Jan ’25₱251.40
₱290.05
+15.4%
8.8%₱330.00₱230.00n/a11
Dec ’24₱233.80
₱286.87
+22.7%
8.8%₱330.00₱230.00₱258.0011
Nov ’24₱205.00
₱278.25
+35.7%
10.7%₱330.00₱230.00₱265.2011
Oct ’24₱229.40
₱279.16
+21.7%
10.8%₱330.00₱230.00₱268.6011
Sep ’24₱240.00
₱280.90
+17.0%
10.4%₱330.00₱230.00₱259.8012
Aug ’24₱261.00
₱271.74
+4.1%
12.5%₱330.00₱207.00₱232.8011
Jul ’24₱239.20
₱266.74
+11.5%
10.8%₱313.00₱207.00₱225.2011
Jun ’24₱230.40
₱264.01
+14.6%
14.5%₱313.00₱178.00₱216.4013
May ’24₱225.00
₱262.92
+16.9%
15.8%₱313.00₱178.00₱235.4011
Apr ’24₱224.00
₱264.74
+18.2%
16.0%₱313.00₱178.00₱248.6011
Mar ’24₱238.00
₱277.45
+16.6%
16.7%₱344.00₱178.00₱271.6012
Feb ’24₱245.00
₱275.72
+12.5%
16.4%₱344.00₱178.00₱254.0013
Jan ’24₱230.00
₱273.22
+18.8%
17.9%₱344.00₱178.00₱251.4013
Dec ’23₱240.60
₱269.42
+12.0%
16.8%₱344.00₱178.00₱233.8014

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/31 01:43
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Jollibee Foods Corporation is covered by 25 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Julian Vincent RoxasBofA Global Research
Philip FelixBofA Global Research
Lance SoledadCGS International