Jollibee Foods Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Jollibee Foods is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 19.6% and 10.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 18.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15.8% in 3 years.

Key information

19.6%

Earnings growth rate

18.3%

EPS growth rate

Hospitality earnings growth	21.6%
Revenue growth rate	10.8%
Future return on equity	15.8%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	18 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

PSE:JFC - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (PHP Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	335,489	15,192	29,509	40,629	8
12/31/2025	304,068	12,760	24,283	37,250	10
12/31/2024	273,781	10,268	12,103	30,393	9
9/30/2024	262,945	9,958	23,378	35,170	N/A
6/30/2024	256,749	9,585	28,096	39,650	N/A
3/31/2024	250,320	8,869	25,077	36,638	N/A
12/31/2023	244,107	8,315	26,475	37,813	N/A
9/30/2023	238,956	6,691	20,944	31,658	N/A
6/30/2023	232,872	6,512	19,064	29,046	N/A
3/31/2023	224,137	6,975	16,922	27,259	N/A
12/31/2022	211,902	7,107	14,239	23,922	N/A
9/30/2022	195,360	10,070	17,283	26,404	N/A
6/30/2022	177,114	9,499	13,135	22,357	N/A
3/31/2022	161,752	7,686	11,717	19,640	N/A
12/31/2021	153,576	5,869	11,974	19,849	N/A
9/30/2021	145,155	4,732	10,228	17,281	N/A
6/30/2021	137,919	1,581	7,293	13,756	N/A
3/31/2021	124,569	-9,682	-1,500	4,234	N/A
12/31/2020	129,313	-11,511	-6,427	-505	N/A
9/30/2020	145,149	-10,416	-6,940	473	N/A
6/30/2020	158,363	-7,162	-2,614	6,083	N/A
3/31/2020	178,703	4,165	6,437	16,339	N/A
12/31/2019	179,626	7,303	10,022	20,063	N/A
9/30/2019	171,739	6,302	16,060	24,984	N/A
6/30/2019	168,910	6,664	13,183	22,493	N/A
3/31/2019	166,152	7,875	10,346	19,531	N/A
12/31/2018	161,168	8,213	10,841	20,473	N/A
9/30/2018	153,699	8,089	3,943	13,967	N/A
6/30/2018	146,019	7,670	N/A	15,247	N/A
3/31/2018	137,651	7,375	N/A	14,527	N/A
1/1/2018	133,583	6,940	N/A	17,746	N/A
9/30/2017	126,133	6,881	N/A	13,483	N/A
6/30/2017	121,228	6,600	N/A	11,351	N/A
3/31/2017	116,998	6,299	N/A	12,745	N/A
12/31/2016	113,811	6,165	N/A	14,760	N/A
9/30/2016	110,063	5,459	N/A	13,182	N/A
6/30/2016	107,350	5,382	N/A	15,484	N/A
3/31/2016	103,879	5,139	N/A	16,087	N/A
12/31/2015	100,780	4,928	N/A	13,485	N/A
9/30/2015	97,826	5,580	N/A	7,873	N/A
6/30/2015	94,825	5,494	N/A	4,862	N/A
3/31/2015	92,760	5,471	N/A	2,685	N/A
12/31/2014	90,671	5,362	N/A	2,761	N/A
9/30/2014	88,202	5,187	N/A	8,575	N/A
6/30/2014	85,917	5,034	N/A	9,111	N/A
3/31/2014	83,042	4,855	N/A	8,510	N/A
12/31/2013	80,283	4,672	N/A	9,049	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: JFC's forecast earnings growth (19.6% per year) is above the savings rate (5.3%).

Earnings vs Market: JFC's earnings (19.6% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the PH market (11.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: JFC's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: JFC's revenue (10.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the PH market (7.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: JFC's revenue (10.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: JFC's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15.8%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/21 20:37
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

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Analyst Sources

Jollibee Foods Corporation is covered by 25 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Julian Vincent Roxas	BofA Global Research
Philip Felix	BofA Global Research
Lance Soledad	CGS International

Jollibee Foods Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 16%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 17%

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 16%

Price target increased to ₱238

Price target increased to ₱234

Recent updates

Jollibee Announces New Line of Premium, Made-to-Order Beverages, Signature Sips

Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: ₱2.41 (vs ₱2.08 in 3Q 2023)

Dividend increased to ₱1.82

Now 20% undervalued

Jollibee Unlocks Unique Flavor Cravings with the Return of Its Iconic Ube Pie, Available for A Limited Time

Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: ₱2.62 (vs ₱1.98 in 2Q 2023)

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: ₱2.24 (vs ₱1.75 in 1Q 2023)

Jollibee Foods Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Jun 28, 2024

Final dividend increased to ₱1.15

Jollibee Foods Corporation Approves Cash Dividend on Common Stock, Payable on May 23, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Upcoming dividend of ₱1.23 per share at 1.1% yield

Jollibee Foods Corporation Declares A Regular Cash Dividend, Payable on December 11, 2023

Jollibee Foods Corporation Declares A Regular Cash Dividend, Payable on December 11, 2023

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: ₱2.08 (vs ₱1.93 in 3Q 2022)

Director recently bought ₱3.1m worth of stock

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: ₱1.98 (vs ₱2.31 in 2Q 2022)

Director recently bought ₱18m worth of stock

First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: ₱1.75 (vs ₱1.95 in 1Q 2022)

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 16%

Full year 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

President recently sold ₱173m worth of stock

Jollibee Reportedly in Talks to Sell Stake in Highlands Coffee

Less than half of directors are independent

Third quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: ₱1.93 (vs ₱1.42 in 3Q 2021)

Jollibee Foods Corporation Declares Regular Cash Dividend, Payable on December 14, 2022

Chief Procurement Officer recently bought ₱4.5m worth of stock

Director recently bought ₱2.0m worth of stock

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 17%

Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: ₱2.31 (vs ₱0.89 in 2Q 2021)

Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

President recently bought ₱4.0m worth of stock

Now 23% undervalued after recent price drop

Insider recently bought ₱1.0m worth of stock

First quarter 2022 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

President recently bought ₱38m worth of stock

Chief Marketing Officer recently bought ₱13m worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of ₱1.07 per share

Less than half of directors are independent

Jollibee Foods Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Jun 24, 2022

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 16%

Price target increased to ₱238

Price target increased to ₱234

Price target increased to ₱210

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS ₱1.42 (vs ₱1.43 loss in 3Q 2020)

Jollibee Foods Corporation (PSE : JFC) acquired 15% stake in Tim Ho Wan Pte. Ltd for SGD 71.6 million.

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS ₱0.89 (vs ₱9.33 loss in 2Q 2020)

Independent Director Cezar Consing has left the company

Chairman of the Board recently bought ₱24m worth of stock

Head of Global Corp. Legal & Ethics recently sold ₱1.3m worth of stock

First quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS ₱0.14 (vs ₱1.53 loss in 1Q 2020)

Full year 2020 earnings released: ₱10.45 loss per share (vs ₱6.68 profit in FY 2019)

Upcoming dividend of ₱0.78 per share

Price target raised to ₱165

New 90-day low: ₱173

Analysts update estimates

New 90-day high: ₱205

Price target raised to ₱147

Third quarter 2020 earnings released: ₱1.43 loss per share

Revenue beats expectations, earnings disappoint

New 90-day high: ₱194

Jollibee Foods Corp. to Close Stores

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts