Jollibee Foods Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Jollibee Foods is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 19.5% and 10.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 19.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 16.4% in 3 years.

Key information

19.5%

Earnings growth rate

19.5%

EPS growth rate

Hospitality earnings growth	22.0%
Revenue growth rate	10.6%
Future return on equity	16.4%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	13 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

PSE:JFC - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (PHP Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	333,211	15,219	27,176	40,296	7
12/31/2025	300,781	12,612	23,010	36,213	9
12/31/2024	271,594	10,299	12,103	30,457	9
9/30/2024	262,945	9,958	23,378	35,170	N/A
6/30/2024	256,749	9,585	28,096	39,650	N/A
3/31/2024	250,320	8,869	25,077	36,638	N/A
12/31/2023	244,107	8,315	26,475	37,813	N/A
9/30/2023	238,956	6,691	20,944	31,658	N/A
6/30/2023	232,872	6,512	19,064	29,046	N/A
3/31/2023	224,137	6,975	16,922	27,259	N/A
12/31/2022	211,902	7,107	14,239	23,922	N/A
9/30/2022	195,360	10,070	17,283	26,404	N/A
6/30/2022	177,114	9,499	13,135	22,357	N/A
3/31/2022	161,752	7,686	11,717	19,640	N/A
12/31/2021	153,576	5,869	11,974	19,849	N/A
9/30/2021	145,155	4,732	10,228	17,281	N/A
6/30/2021	137,919	1,581	7,293	13,756	N/A
3/31/2021	124,569	-9,682	-1,500	4,234	N/A
12/31/2020	129,313	-11,511	-6,427	-505	N/A
9/30/2020	145,149	-10,416	-6,940	473	N/A
6/30/2020	158,363	-7,162	-2,614	6,083	N/A
3/31/2020	178,703	4,165	6,437	16,339	N/A
12/31/2019	179,626	7,303	10,022	20,063	N/A
9/30/2019	171,739	6,302	16,060	24,984	N/A
6/30/2019	168,910	6,664	13,183	22,493	N/A
3/31/2019	166,152	7,875	10,346	19,531	N/A
12/31/2018	161,168	8,213	10,841	20,473	N/A
9/30/2018	153,699	8,089	3,943	13,967	N/A
6/30/2018	146,019	7,670	N/A	15,247	N/A
3/31/2018	137,651	7,375	N/A	14,527	N/A
1/1/2018	133,583	6,940	N/A	17,746	N/A
9/30/2017	126,133	6,881	N/A	13,483	N/A
6/30/2017	121,228	6,600	N/A	11,351	N/A
3/31/2017	116,998	6,299	N/A	12,745	N/A
12/31/2016	113,811	6,165	N/A	14,760	N/A
9/30/2016	110,063	5,459	N/A	13,182	N/A
6/30/2016	107,350	5,382	N/A	15,484	N/A
3/31/2016	103,879	5,139	N/A	16,087	N/A
12/31/2015	100,780	4,928	N/A	13,485	N/A
9/30/2015	97,826	5,580	N/A	7,873	N/A
6/30/2015	94,825	5,494	N/A	4,862	N/A
3/31/2015	92,760	5,471	N/A	2,685	N/A
12/31/2014	90,671	5,362	N/A	2,761	N/A
9/30/2014	88,202	5,187	N/A	8,575	N/A
6/30/2014	85,917	5,034	N/A	9,111	N/A
3/31/2014	83,042	4,855	N/A	8,510	N/A
12/31/2013	80,283	4,672	N/A	9,049	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: JFC's forecast earnings growth (19.5% per year) is above the savings rate (5.3%).

Earnings vs Market: JFC's earnings (19.5% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the PH market (12.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: JFC's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: JFC's revenue (10.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the PH market (7.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: JFC's revenue (10.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: JFC's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (16.4%).

Jollibee Foods Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 16%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 17%

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 16%

Price target increased to ₱238

Price target increased to ₱234

Recent updates

Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: ₱2.41 (vs ₱2.08 in 3Q 2023)

Dividend increased to ₱1.82

Now 20% undervalued

Jollibee Unlocks Unique Flavor Cravings with the Return of Its Iconic Ube Pie, Available for A Limited Time

Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: ₱2.62 (vs ₱1.98 in 2Q 2023)

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: ₱2.24 (vs ₱1.75 in 1Q 2023)

Jollibee Foods Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Jun 28, 2024

Final dividend increased to ₱1.15

Jollibee Foods Corporation Approves Cash Dividend on Common Stock, Payable on May 23, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Upcoming dividend of ₱1.23 per share at 1.1% yield

Jollibee Foods Corporation Declares A Regular Cash Dividend, Payable on December 11, 2023

Jollibee Foods Corporation Declares A Regular Cash Dividend, Payable on December 11, 2023

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: ₱2.08 (vs ₱1.93 in 3Q 2022)

Director recently bought ₱3.1m worth of stock

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: ₱1.98 (vs ₱2.31 in 2Q 2022)

Director recently bought ₱18m worth of stock

First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: ₱1.75 (vs ₱1.95 in 1Q 2022)

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 16%

Full year 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

President recently sold ₱173m worth of stock

Jollibee Reportedly in Talks to Sell Stake in Highlands Coffee

Less than half of directors are independent

Third quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: ₱1.93 (vs ₱1.42 in 3Q 2021)

Jollibee Foods Corporation Declares Regular Cash Dividend, Payable on December 14, 2022

Chief Procurement Officer recently bought ₱4.5m worth of stock

Director recently bought ₱2.0m worth of stock

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 17%

Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: ₱2.31 (vs ₱0.89 in 2Q 2021)

Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

President recently bought ₱4.0m worth of stock

Now 23% undervalued after recent price drop

Insider recently bought ₱1.0m worth of stock

First quarter 2022 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

President recently bought ₱38m worth of stock

Chief Marketing Officer recently bought ₱13m worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of ₱1.07 per share

Less than half of directors are independent

Jollibee Foods Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Jun 24, 2022

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 16%

Price target increased to ₱238

Price target increased to ₱234

Price target increased to ₱210

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS ₱1.42 (vs ₱1.43 loss in 3Q 2020)

Jollibee Foods Corporation (PSE : JFC) acquired 15% stake in Tim Ho Wan Pte. Ltd for SGD 71.6 million.

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS ₱0.89 (vs ₱9.33 loss in 2Q 2020)

Independent Director Cezar Consing has left the company

Chairman of the Board recently bought ₱24m worth of stock

Head of Global Corp. Legal & Ethics recently sold ₱1.3m worth of stock

First quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS ₱0.14 (vs ₱1.53 loss in 1Q 2020)

Full year 2020 earnings released: ₱10.45 loss per share (vs ₱6.68 profit in FY 2019)

Upcoming dividend of ₱0.78 per share

Price target raised to ₱165

New 90-day low: ₱173

Analysts update estimates

New 90-day high: ₱205

Price target raised to ₱147

Third quarter 2020 earnings released: ₱1.43 loss per share

Revenue beats expectations, earnings disappoint

New 90-day high: ₱194

Jollibee Foods Corp. to Close Stores

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity