Simon Property Group, Inc.

BVL:SPG Stock Report

Market Cap: US$56.1b

Simon Property Group Valuation

Is SPG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SPG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SPG ($147.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($159.05)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SPG is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SPG?

Key metric: As SPG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SPG. This is calculated by dividing SPG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SPG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.9x
EarningsUS$2.45b
Market CapUS$56.12b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SPG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SPG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average43.7x
O Realty Income
53.2x18.9%US$46.6b
KIM Kimco Realty
44.5x13.4%US$15.9b
REG Regency Centers
34.3x4.1%US$13.6b
SCG Scentre Group
42.7x21.7%AU$18.3b
SPG Simon Property Group
22.9x-0.3%US$56.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SPG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.9x) compared to the peer average (43.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SPG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Retail REITs Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SPG 22.9xIndustry Avg. 19.5xNo. of Companies11PE01224364860+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SPG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.9x) compared to the Global Retail REITs industry average (19.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SPG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SPG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SPG's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SPG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$147.20
US$184.69
+25.5%
8.1%US$220.00US$150.00n/a18
Dec ’25US$147.20
US$176.85
+20.1%
9.4%US$220.00US$150.00n/a17
Nov ’25US$147.20
US$169.21
+14.9%
7.1%US$200.00US$150.00n/a17
Oct ’25US$147.20
US$167.35
+13.7%
7.5%US$200.00US$145.00n/a17
Sep ’25US$147.20
US$164.91
+12.0%
8.9%US$200.00US$145.00n/a17
Aug ’25US$147.20
US$159.24
+8.2%
8.5%US$190.00US$145.00n/a17
Jul ’25US$147.20
US$159.59
+8.4%
8.3%US$190.00US$145.00n/a17
Jun ’25US$147.20
US$159.59
+8.4%
8.3%US$190.00US$145.00n/a17
May ’25US$120.00
US$157.00
+30.8%
7.7%US$180.00US$142.00n/a17
Apr ’25US$120.00
US$156.24
+30.2%
8.1%US$180.00US$142.00n/a17
Mar ’25US$120.00
US$154.41
+28.7%
8.3%US$180.00US$135.00n/a17
Feb ’25US$120.00
US$150.47
+25.4%
8.9%US$180.00US$129.00n/a17
Jan ’25US$120.00
US$140.50
+17.1%
12.2%US$172.00US$119.00n/a16
Dec ’24US$120.00
US$131.75
+9.8%
10.0%US$160.00US$110.00US$147.2016
Nov ’24US$106.70
US$129.44
+21.3%
10.9%US$160.00US$110.00US$147.2016
Oct ’24US$118.80
US$132.88
+11.8%
10.6%US$160.00US$110.00US$147.2016
Sep ’24US$118.80
US$132.06
+11.2%
11.6%US$160.00US$106.00US$147.2016
Aug ’24US$118.80
US$132.00
+11.1%
10.8%US$160.00US$106.00US$147.2017
Jul ’24US$118.80
US$131.25
+10.5%
11.5%US$160.00US$106.00US$147.2016
Jun ’24US$118.80
US$131.06
+10.3%
11.3%US$160.00US$106.00US$147.2017
May ’24US$118.80
US$132.67
+11.7%
9.5%US$160.00US$111.00US$120.0018
Apr ’24US$118.80
US$132.78
+11.8%
9.5%US$160.00US$111.00US$120.0018
Mar ’24US$118.80
US$132.76
+11.8%
9.1%US$160.00US$110.00US$120.0017
Feb ’24US$118.80
US$128.71
+8.3%
10.9%US$160.00US$104.00US$120.0017
Jan ’24US$118.80
US$126.71
+6.7%
12.2%US$160.00US$98.00US$120.0017
Dec ’23US$118.80
US$124.24
+4.6%
13.4%US$160.00US$98.00US$120.0017

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/28 15:08
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Simon Property Group, Inc. is covered by 45 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jacob KilsteinArgus Research Company
Ross SmotrichBarclays
William AchesonBenchmark Company